Leões vs Caxinas Poça da Barca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:4
12/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Placard - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', Sa B. (G), Neto L. (A),
  • 19', Marques R. (G), Correia M. (A),
  • 20', Silvestre R. (G),
  • 20', Neto L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 21', Castela M. (G), Correia M. (A),
  • 24', Correia M. 🟨,
  • 25', Sa B. 🟨,
  • 25', Teixeira R. 🟨,
  • 32', Marcelo S. 🟨,
  • 34', Fortes A. 🟨,
  • 37', Sa B. (G), Silvestre R. (A),
  • 38', Silvestre R. (G), Alves Carrilho R. F. (A),
  • 38', Correia M. (G),
  • 40', Sousa A. (Own Goal),

Chances of winning


Leões
68.2%
Draw
15.4%
Caxinas Poça da Barca
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 15.5% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 10.2% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Caxinas Poça da Barca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leões than the current prediction. (-24%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leões that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxinas Poça da Barca than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxinas Poça da Barca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.37)
    5.93
    (5.91)
    5.55
    (5.27)
    9.6%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leões won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Leões is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leões won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 2.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leões won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Caxinas Poça da Barca - Leões 0:5
    15.03.2025 Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca 2:2
    19.02.2025 Caxinas Poça da Barca - Leões 2:1
    11.11.2024 Caxinas Poça da Barca - Leões 1:1
    23.03.2024 Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca 2:2
    Latest results of Leões
    06.12.2025 Fundão - Leões 3:3
    29.11.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Leões 6:3
    18.11.2025 Leões - Benfica 1:2
    08.11.2025 Leões - Rio Ave 2:5
    Latest results of Caxinas Poça da Barca
    Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Benfica19171189:2852
    2Sporting191612123:3549
    3Braga/AAUM19112653:5035
    4Leoes19103666:5133
    5Rio Ave1992864:8029
    6Ferreira do Zezere1983863:5527
    7Torreense19621157:7520
    8Electrico20541157:7319
    9Lombos19531144:8318
    10Fundao19451040:6417
    11Famalicao20441248:8316
    12Caxinas Poca Barca19421339:6614

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