Cayón vs Naval Reinosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Cayón - Naval Reinosa
Result
3:1
10/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', 1 - 0, Chus Laredo ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 70', 2 - 0, Lopez J. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Alvarez C. ,

Chances of winning


Cayón
47.1%
Draw
23.2%
Naval Reinosa
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 22.3% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cayón's form might have worsened.
  • Naval Reinosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naval Reinosa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cayón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naval Reinosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cayón - Naval Reinosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.57)
    3.92
    (4.05)
    3.05
    (4.52)
    10.1%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Cayón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Naval Reinosa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Cayón is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cayón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cayón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cayón - Naval Reinosa were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Naval Reinosa - Cayón 0:3
    02.04.2023 Naval Reinosa - Cayón 1:0
    04.12.2022 Cayón - Naval Reinosa 2:2
    Latest results of Cayón
    27.04.2025 Cayón - Monte 2:1
    18.04.2025 Cayón - Bezana 3:2
    12.04.2025 Revilla - Cayón 2:0
    06.04.2025 Cayón - Colindres 3:1
    Latest results of Naval Reinosa
    04.05.2025 Naval Reinosa - Bezana 2:0
    26.04.2025 Revilla - Naval Reinosa 2:4
    18.04.2025 Naval Reinosa - Colindres 1:2
    13.04.2025 Castro - Naval Reinosa 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2