Real Avilés vs CD Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
02/05/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
58
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
54
Yellow cards
54
Total shots
58
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
24
Corner kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Amigo D. ,
  • 9', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ,
  • 29', Cadete 🟨,
  • 30', Chukwuma E. 🟨,
  • 33', Bari Q. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Chukwuma E. , Ortega G. ,
  • 50', Ablanque J. 🟨,
  • 57', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 65', Neskes , Perez L. ,
  • 65', Cadete , Moreno A. ,
  • 66', Martinez J. , Munoz P. ,
  • 70', Santamaria A. , Luis Alcalde ,
  • 70', Bari Q. , Rubio R. ,
  • 78', Tavares R. , Samuel ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Bautista K. ,
  • 87', Miki , Delgado A. ,
  • 90', Bautista K. , Gete A. ,
  • 90', Cayarga B. , Diaz V. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Alvarez U. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Avilés
45.7%
Draw
28.2%
CD Guadalajara
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 27.7% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 27% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Real Avilés - CD Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.97)
    3.26
    (3.36)
    3.53
    (3.69)
    8.7%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Real Avilés has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guadalajara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Real Avilés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Avilés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Avilés - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
    05.10.2025 CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés 3:4
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife ✔ 352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B ✔ 351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9Lugo3512131034:37-349
    10AD Merida351391344:49-548
    11Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    12Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    13Ath Bilbao B3512101336:40-446
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15Ourense CF359121440:42-239
    16CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    17Cacereno358141335:45-1038
    18Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    19Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    20Arenteiro35692029:50-2127

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
    Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1