Result
4:0
22/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cearense - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Matheusinho ⚽,
- 12', Marco Antonio 🟨,
- 24', Bismark (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', Wendell 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Melk ⚽,
- 45+5', Nonato 🟨,
- 45+5', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Marco Antonio ↓, Eliandro ↑,
- 46', Lucas Lima ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
- 46', Fernando ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
- 56', Juan Alano ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 60', Joao Celeri ↓, Thailor ↑,
- 61', 3 - 0, Luiz Otavio ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
- 63', Matheusinho ↓, Marcelo Maia ↑,
- 63', Bismark ↓, Emerson ↑,
- 63', Luiz Otavio ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 63', Julio Cesar ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
- 79', 4 - 0, Wendell ⚽, Alex Silva (A),
Chances of winning
Ceará
68.7% | Draw
21.1% | Floresta
10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Ceará - Floresta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.38) |
4.36 ↑
(4.18) |
9.1 ↑
(8.25) |
8.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 3-0. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 4.
- Ceará has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Floresta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Floresta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ceará is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Ceará will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 2.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Floresta?
Ceará has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Floresta won against Ceará?
Floresta has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Floresta were as follows:
15.02.2026
Floresta
-
Ceará
0:3
10.01.2026
Floresta
-
Ceará
0:1
27.01.2024
Ceará
-
Floresta
1:0
Latest results of Floresta
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Ferroviario | Fortaleza | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Floresta EC | Ceara | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
Final3rd place| 2 | Ferroviario | Floresta EC | 1 : 0 |
