Result
2:0
05/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (176/237) | 82% (314/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (176/237) | 82% (314/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (50/75) | 74% (89/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.70 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Amuzu F. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Pedro Raul (Pen),
- 41', Arezo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fernando Sobral ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 46', Camilo ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 55', Igor Serrote 🟨,
- 58', Fernandinho ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
- 63', Pavon C. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 63', Igor Serrote ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 67', Lucas Mugni ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
- 73', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
- 81', Edenilson ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 87', Amuzu F. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 90', Galeano A. ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 90+3', Pedro Raul ↓, Nicolas ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 0, Matheus Araujo ⚽, Martinez A. (A),
Chances of winning
Ceará
46% | Draw
29% | Grêmio
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará's performance.Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceará - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.68) |
3.27 ↑
(3.26) |
3.78 ↑
(2.69) |
5.6%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Grêmio (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1.
- Recent matches Ceará is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Grêmio is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Ceará will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G.
(Muscle Injury)
Walter Kannemann
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Bruno Tubarao
(Muscle Injury)
Galeano A.
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Richard
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Grêmio?
Ceará has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Ceará?
Grêmio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Grêmio were as follows:
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
