Grêmio vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Grêmio - Ceará
Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 21
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.581.54
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
84% (420/502)72% (232/322)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.581.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.86
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
84% (420/502)72% (232/322)
Long passes
45% (27/60)42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
67% (83/123)44% (24/55)
Crosses
23% (6/26)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.66
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
1412
Tackles
93% (14/15)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4660
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.860.89
Goals prevented
1.860.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Willian Machado 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fabian Balbuena , Wagner Leonardo ,
  • 46', Edenilson , Freitas dos Santos R. ,
  • 65', Aylon , Paulo Baya ,
  • 65', Richardson , Lucas Mugni ,
  • 71', Alex Santana 🟨,
  • 74', Freitas dos Santos R. , Aravena A. ,
  • 75', Olivera C. , Andre Henrique ,
  • 75', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
  • 82', Ramos R. 🟨,
  • 85', Pedro Raul , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 85', Lourenco , Lucas Lima ,
  • 89', Braithwaite M. , Jardiel ,
  • 90+2', Galeano A. , Rodriguinho ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grêmio
45%
Draw
30.7%
Ceará
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27.3% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 26.1% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Grêmio - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.99)
    3.1
    (3.43)
    3.91
    (3.65)
    5.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio - Ceará?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Grêmio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Carlos Vinicius (Red Card) Dodi (Red Card) Gustavo Martins (Hamstring Injury) Joao Lucas (Muscle Injury) Monsalve M. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho (Muscle Injury) Fernando Miguel (Inactive) Fernando Sobral (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Joao Pedro (Broken ankle) Luan Candido (Inactive) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury) Villasanti M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Ceará were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Ceará - Grêmio 2:0
    Latest results of Grêmio
    10.08.2025 Grêmio - Sport Recife 0:1
    02.08.2025 Fluminense - Grêmio 1:0
    29.07.2025 Grêmio - Fortaleza 2:1
    26.07.2025 Palmeiras - Grêmio 1:0
    Latest results of Ceará
    20.08.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    10.08.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 2:1
    03.08.2025 Ceará - Flamengo 1:1
    27.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Ceará 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ23156248:113751
    2Cruzeiro24155439:172250
    3Palmeiras22154336:181849
    4Mirassol23119341:231842
    5Botafogo RJ24117635:181740
    6Bahia23107631:28337
    7Sao Paulo2498727:24335
    8Fluminense2294926:29-331
    9Bragantino24941129:35-631
    10Corinthians2478924:29-529
    11Gremio2478924:30-629
    12Ceara2377922:23-128
    13Vasco24761136:35127
    14Internacional23761028:36-827
    15Santos23751122:32-1026
    16Atletico-MG2267921:26-525
    17Vitoria244101019:35-1622
    18Juventude23631419:45-2621
    19Fortaleza23461323:38-1518
    20Sport Recife22281216:34-1814

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet