Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 1.54 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
84% (420/502) | 72% (232/322) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 1.54 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.89 | 1.86 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
84% (420/502) | 72% (232/322) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (27/60) | 42% (28/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (83/123) | 44% (24/55) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (6/26) | 43% (3/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.07 | 0.66 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
93% (14/15) | 82% (14/17) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.86 | 0.89 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.86 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fabian Balbuena ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
- 46', Edenilson ↓, Freitas dos Santos R. ↑,
- 65', Aylon ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 65', Richardson ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 71', Alex Santana 🟨,
- 74', Freitas dos Santos R. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 75', Olivera C. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 75', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 82', Ramos R. 🟨,
- 85', Pedro Raul ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 85', Lourenco ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 89', Braithwaite M. ↓, Jardiel ↑,
- 90+2', Galeano A. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio 45% | Draw 30.7% | Ceará 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Grêmio - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (1.99) |
3.1 ↓ (3.43) |
3.91 ↑ (3.65) |
5.6% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Grêmio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Carlos Vinicius
(Red Card)
Dodi
(Red Card)
Gustavo Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Muscle Injury)
Fernando Miguel
(Inactive)
Fernando Sobral
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Ceará?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Grêmio?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Ceará were as follows:
05.04.2025
Ceará
-
Grêmio
2:0
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet