Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.21 | 1.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (356/429) | 74% (225/306) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.21 | 1.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.79 | 0.98 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 15 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
83% (356/429) | 74% (225/306) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (19/44) | 46% (28/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (65/103) | 52% (37/71) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (4/13) | 11% (2/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.67 | 0.49 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 33% (3/9) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 45 |
Clearances Total |
---|
34 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.98 | 1.79 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.02 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Ewerthon 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Aylon ⚽, Matheus Araujo (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Mandaca ⚽, Batalla E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Galeano A. 🟨,
- 65', Mandaca ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 65', Batalla E. ↓, Enio ↑,
- 65', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Matheus Babi ⚽, Giovanny (A),
- 70', Matheus Araujo ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 70', Willian Machado ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 76', Galeano A. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
- 76', Aylon ↓, Lele ↑,
- 77', Ewerthon ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
- 83', Pedro Raul 🟨,
- 83', Bruno Ferreira 🟨,
- 85', Lourenco ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
- 86', Giraldo D. ↓, Davi Goes ↑,
- 88', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 89', Giovanny ↓, Angel W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juventude 40.6% | Draw 30.5% | Ceará 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Juventude - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↑ (2.09) |
3.08 ↓ (3.27) |
3.28 ↓ (3.62) |
5.8% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juventude - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventude won 3.
- Juventude is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Ceará is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Juventude will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Cipriano
(Hamstring Injury)
Gilberto
(Hamstring Injury)
Peixoto
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Sam
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Bruno Tubarao
(Muscle Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Juventude won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 0.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Ceará?
Juventude has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Juventude?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Ceará were as follows:
25.11.2023
Ceará
-
Juventude
1:3
23.07.2023
Juventude
-
Ceará
1:0
13.11.2022
Ceará
-
Juventude
4:1
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet