Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (403/475) | 80% (285/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (403/475) | 80% (285/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (68/99) | 64% (72/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | 1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
- 36', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Abner ↓, Luan Freitas ↑,
- 47', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 48', Gabriel Veron ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
- 56', Lucas Mugni ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 68', Aylon ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 68', Richardson ↓, Vina ↑,
- 72', Batalla E. ↓, Enio ↑,
- 72', Caique Goncalves ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
- 80', Matheus Babi 🟨,
- 83', Nicolas ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 84', Galeano A. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 85', Giraldo D. 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, Mandaca ⚽, Reginaldo (A),
- 90+8', Jandrei 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ceará
54.6% | Draw
27.7% | Juventude
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceará, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Ceará - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.59) |
3.45 ↓
(3.88) |
5.44 ↓
(5.7) |
4.4%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceará - Juventude?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 59.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Juventude (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Ceará is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Muscle Injury)
Fernando Miguel
(Inactive)
Willian Machado
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Juventude: Ewerthon
(Muscle Injury)
Gilberto
(Injury)
Lucas Fernandes
(Muscle Injury)
Nata
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Sam
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Juventude?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Ceará?
Juventude has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Juventude were as follows:
12.04.2025
Juventude
-
Ceará
2:1
25.11.2023
Ceará
-
Juventude
1:3
23.07.2023
Juventude
-
Ceará
1:0
13.11.2022
Ceará
-
Juventude
4:1
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Bahia | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:27 | 0 | 35 |
| 14 | Internacional | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
