Sampaio Corrêa vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará
Result
1:2
07/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa do Nordeste - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 43', Ray 🟨,
  • 44', Nicolas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Guilherme Luiz , Pedro Raul ,
  • 46', Bruno Tubarao , Fernandinho ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Alan Stence ,
  • 56', Wesley 🟨,
  • 64', Ramos R. , Romulo ,
  • 64', Lucas Lima , Lourenco ,
  • 69', Joao Carlos , Ibiapina C. ,
  • 70', Adriano , Wadson ,
  • 76', Alecio , Jair ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 82', Soeiro E. , Paulo Silva ,
  • 82', Alan Stence , Verdun M. ,
  • 82', Pedro Henrique , Galeano A. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Galeano A. ,

Chances of winning


Sampaio Corrêa
12.3%
Draw
21.6%
Ceará
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 26.8% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3% 25.9% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa's form might have worsened.
  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.5
    (4.12)
    4.2
    (3.4)
    1.38
    (1.79)
    9.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Ceará will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 0.
    • In recent matches, Sampaio Corrêa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceará's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sampaio Corrêa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ceará is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará were as follows:
    14.10.2023 Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa 0:0
    25.06.2023 Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará 1:1
    04.02.2023 Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa 2:0
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa
    Latest results of Ceará
    04.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Ceará 3:2
    01.06.2025 Ceará - Atlético Mineiro 0:1
    22.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 3:0
    17.05.2025 Ceará - Sport Recife 2:0
    12.05.2025 Santos - Ceará 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2