Result
2:3
16/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 19', 🟥,
- 20', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 33', (Pen),
- 33', 2 - 1, Cueto G. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 2, Trabanco A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ceares
28.5% | Draw
30.1% | Covadonga
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceares's performance.Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Covadonga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceares that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covadonga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceares - Covadonga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↓
(4.6) |
3.27 ↓
(3.4) |
2.38 ↑
(1.69) |
1.5%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 2.
- Ceares has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Covadonga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Covadonga is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceares won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceares won against Covadonga?
Ceares has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Ceares?
Covadonga has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceares - Covadonga were as follows:
06.04.2025
Covadonga
-
Ceares
1:0
24.11.2024
Ceares
-
Covadonga
3:1
26.08.2023
Ceares
-
Covadonga
1:0
16.04.2023
Covadonga
-
Ceares
3:1
17.12.2022
Ceares
-
Covadonga
0:3
Latest results of Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 58:14 | 44 | 59 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 48 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:18 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Llanes | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Praviano | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Lenense | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:45 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15:48 | -33 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
