Lenense vs Ceares – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Lenense - Ceares
Result
1:2
23/03/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 🟥,
  • 41', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 81', 1 - 1, ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Lenense
30.6%
Draw
30.2%
Ceares
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 30.1% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 29.4% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lenense's form might have worsened.
  • Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceares's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lenense - Ceares Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.5)
    3
    (3.01)
    2.31
    (2.68)
    10.4%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).
    • Lenense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ceares is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lenense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.6:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lenense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lenense - Ceares were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Ceares - Lenense 3:0
    24.03.2024 Lenense - Ceares 0:1
    05.11.2023 Ceares - Lenense 2:1
    Latest results of Lenense
    09.03.2025 Lenense - Covadonga 0:3
    01.03.2025 LEntregu - Lenense 1:1
    16.02.2025 Lenense - Avilés Stadium 1:2
    09.02.2025 Mosconia - Lenense 1:0
    02.02.2025 Lenense - Praviano 1:0
    Latest results of Ceares
    16.03.2025 Ceares - Avilés Stadium 1:1
    09.03.2025 Mosconia - Ceares 2:1
    02.03.2025 Ceares - Praviano 1:2
    22.02.2025 Roces - Ceares 0:1
    16.02.2025 Ceares - Lealtad 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2