Result
4:2
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 13', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 68', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lenense
33.5% | Draw
27.7% | Ceares
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Lenense - Ceares Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.47) |
3.5 ↑
(3.41) |
2.51 ↑
(2.49) |
2.9%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 0.
- Lenense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ceares is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lenense won against Ceares?
Lenense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceares won against Lenense?
Ceares has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lenense - Ceares were as follows:
07.12.2025
Ceares
-
Lenense
2:0
23.03.2025
Lenense
-
Ceares
1:2
10.11.2024
Ceares
-
Lenense
3:0
24.03.2024
Lenense
-
Ceares
0:1
05.11.2023
Ceares
-
Lenense
2:1
Latest results of Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 62:17 | 45 | 82 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 79:21 | 58 | 74 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 31 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 76:24 | 52 | 61 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 54:36 | 18 | 60 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 9 | CD Colunga | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Praviano | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Club Siero | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Llanes | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 42:46 | -4 | 34 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 18:35 | -17 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 30:53 | -23 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Tuilla | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:52 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 | Gijon Industrial | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 28:54 | -26 | 25 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 31 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 18:69 | -51 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
