Result
2:0
18/02/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21
Chances of winning
Ceares 66.5% | Draw 21% | Luarca 12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Luarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceares that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Ceares - Luarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.36 ↓ (1.37) |
4.3 ↑ (4.2) |
7.22 ↓ (7.32) |
10.8% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Ceares is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Luarca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Ceares is absolute favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Ceares won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ceares won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceares won against Luarca?
Ceares has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luarca won against Ceares?
Luarca has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceares - Luarca were as follows:
01.10.2023
Luarca
-
Ceares
2:3
05.03.2023
Luarca
-
Ceares
0:0
29.10.2022
Ceares
-
Luarca
0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 58:14 | 44 | 59 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 48 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:18 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Llanes | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Praviano | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Lenense | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:45 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15:48 | -33 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation