Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Fagir I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mosconia
52.6% | Draw
28.6% | Ceares
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Mosconia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Mosconia - Ceares Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.73) |
2.89 ↓
(3.3) |
4.41 ↓
(4.6) |
20.8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1.
- Mosconia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ceares is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Mosconia is the team to beat.
- We predict that Mosconia will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mosconia won against Ceares?
Mosconia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceares won against Mosconia?
Ceares has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mosconia - Ceares were as follows:
20.09.2025
Ceares
-
Mosconia
0:0
09.03.2025
Mosconia
-
Ceares
2:1
27.10.2024
Ceares
-
Mosconia
1:1
Latest results of Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 58:14 | 44 | 59 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 48 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:18 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Llanes | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Praviano | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Lenense | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:45 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15:48 | -33 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
