Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19
Chances of winning
Tuilla
18.9% | Draw
28.2% | Ceares
52.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tuilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuilla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-4%)
Tuilla - Ceares Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.81 ↑
(4.15) |
3.21 ↑
(3.07) |
1.72 ↓
(1.85) |
10.2%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tuilla won 2.
- Tuilla is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ceares is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Ceares is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tuilla won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tuilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tuilla won against Ceares?
Tuilla has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceares won against Tuilla?
Ceares has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tuilla - Ceares were as follows:
14.09.2025
Ceares
-
Tuilla
2:1
26.01.2025
Tuilla
-
Ceares
0:0
15.09.2024
Ceares
-
Tuilla
0:1
25.02.2024
Tuilla
-
Ceares
0:1
08.10.2023
Ceares
-
Tuilla
2:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 58:14 | 44 | 59 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 48 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:18 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Llanes | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Praviano | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Lenense | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:45 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15:48 | -33 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
