Aparecidense vs Ceilândia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Aparecidense - Ceilândia
Result
2:0
14/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
54
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Moraes ,
  • 43', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 2 - 0, Kaio Nunes ,

Chances of winning


Aparecidense
47.1%
Draw
29.9%
Ceilândia
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 29.1% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 28.1% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.
  • Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceilândia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecidense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceilândia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aparecidense - Ceilândia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.25)
    3.06
    (3.13)
    3.97
    (3)
    9.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Aparecidense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aparecidense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aparecidense - Ceilândia were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Ceilândia - Aparecidense 2:3
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    07.06.2025 Luverdense - Aparecidense 3:1
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    24.05.2025 Ceilândia - Aparecidense 2:3
    21.05.2025 Aparecidense - Fluminense 1:4
    17.05.2025 Aparecidense - Goiânia 3:1
    Latest results of Ceilândia
    07.06.2025 Ceilândia - Porto Velho 3:0
    31.05.2025 Porto Velho - Ceilândia 0:2
    24.05.2025 Ceilândia - Aparecidense 2:3
    17.05.2025 Mixto - Ceilândia 1:1
    10.05.2025 Luverdense - Ceilândia 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0