Result
4:1
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 77', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ceilândia
61.9% | Draw
23.6% | Paranoá
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceilândia's performance.Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paranoá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceilândia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Ceilândia - Paranoá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.71) |
3.84 ↑
(3.39) |
6.22 ↑
(4.51) |
10.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Ceilândia is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:3. (average 3:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceilândia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 3.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceilândia won against Paranoá?
Ceilândia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paranoá won against Ceilândia?
Paranoá has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceilândia - Paranoá were as follows:
08.02.2025
Paranoá
-
Ceilândia
1:2
17.02.2024
Ceilândia
-
Paranoá
1:1
08.02.2023
Ceilândia
-
Paranoá
3:0
Latest results of Ceilândia
Latest results of Paranoá
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama ✔ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Brasiliense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Capital | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Sobradinho | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Ceilandia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | Paranoa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 6 |
| 9 | Brasilia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:18 | -14 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2:16 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
