Celaya vs Tapachula Soconusco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties

14/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya).

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 3)

Chances of winning

Celaya
66.7%

Draw
20.2%

Tapachula Soconusco
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

23.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celaya's performance.

Tapachula Soconusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)	4.48 ↑ (3.85)	6.85 ↑ (5.63)	10.8% (12.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Celaya - Tapachula Soconusco?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

1X2, 1st Half - Celaya (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Celaya (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 6).
Celaya has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Celaya is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Celaya will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Latest results of Celaya

07.02.2026 Deportiva Venados - Celaya 1:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Celaya - Neza 6:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Dragones Toluca - Celaya 0:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Celaya - Cañoneros Marina 3:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Pioneros de Cancún - Celaya 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Tapachula Soconusco

07.02.2026 Tapachula Soconusco - Chapulineros de Oaxaca 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Racing de Veracruz - Tapachula Soconusco 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Tapachula Soconusco - Deportiva Venados 2:3 ✺

11.01.2026 Neza - Tapachula Soconusco 1:4 ✺

15.11.2025 Tapachula Soconusco - Cañoneros Marina 6:0 ✺

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table

2025/26

Group 1

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango ✔	23	19	0	1	0	3	66:14	67
2	Cimarrones de Sonora	24	13	1	6	0	4	42:19	49
3	Tigres de Alica	24	14	1	3	0	6	41:23	49
4	Leones Negros 2	24	14	0	2	0	8	39:26	46
5	Tecos	24	13	0	4	0	7	45:31	45
6	Tritones Vallarta	23	11	2	1	0	9	29:26	40
7	Los Cabos	24	11	0	3	0	10	37:36	37
8	Mineros de Fresnillo	24	9	1	4	2	8	33:37	36
9	Guerreros de Autlan	23	7	0	5	2	9	36:38	29
10	Ensenada FC	24	8	0	2	0	14	29:50	28
11	UA Zacatecas	24	7	0	4	0	13	26:45	26
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	23	5	1	1	1	15	33:57	20
13	ACF Zapotlanejo	23	5	0	1	1	16	37:66	18
14	Colima FC	23	3	0	3	0	17	20:45	13

Group 2

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Apodaca ✔	24	18	2	2	0	2	46:18	63
2	Santiago	23	12	0	6	1	4	31:20	43
3	Halcones	24	10	0	6	1	7	40:26	41
4	Zacatepec	24	10	1	8	0	5	24:14	40
5	Matamoros	23	10	0	5	0	8	27:19	37
6	Lobos ULMX	24	10	0	6	0	8	31:24	37
7	Club Calor	22	9	0	7	1	5	29:23	35
8	Correcaminos 2	24	8	0	7	0	9	25:23	33
9	Chilpancingo	24	7	0	8	0	9	29:39	29
10	Cordobes FC	24	6	1	6	0	11	25:27	26
11	Canamy	23	5	0	8	1	9	32:40	26
12	Zitacuaro	23	4	1	9	0	9	20:29	24
13	Ciervos	24	3	1	4	2	14	19:43	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	24	3	1	4	1	15	22:55	16

Group 3

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz ✔	22	20	0	2	0	0	49:8	67
2	Deportiva Venados	22	12	1	4	1	4	53:24	46
3	Celaya	22	11	1	3	1	6	40:26	42
4	Inter Playa Del Carmen	23	10	2	4	1	6	31:28	39
5	Tapachula	22	11	0	0	1	10	45:34	38
6	Montaneses	22	9	2	2	0	9	30:26	35
7	Pioneros	22	9	1	1	1	10	33:33	33
8	Chiapas	22	9	0	2	3	8	32:31	32
9	Heroes de Zaci	20	8	0	2	1	9	26:37	27
10	Chapulineros	22	4	1	6	0	11	20:32	21
11	Canoneros	21	4	2	1	1	13	19:42	19
12	Neza FC	22	5	0	2	0	15	24:60	19
13	Dragones Toluca	22	4	0	3	0	15	21:42	17

Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )

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