Result
3:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 14 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 14, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 17 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 0% | 100% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -3.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Kutesa D. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
- 18', Strakosha T. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Kovacevic F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Marin R. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Kovacevic F. ⚽,
- 57', Eliasson N. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
- 57', Marin R. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
- 63', Grujic M. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
- 64', Rota L. 🟨,
- 70', Hrka D. 🟨,
- 74', Mantalos P. 🟨,
- 74', Hrka D. ↓, Daniel P. ↑,
- 78', Lisakovich V. 🟨,
- 79', Kvesic M. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
- 79', Lisakovich V. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
- 79', Pilios S. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
- 79', Kutesa D. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Kovacevic F. ⚽, Avdyli M. (A),
- 84', Kovacevic F. ↓, Poplatnik M. ↑,
- 84', Sturm D. ↓, Pozeg R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Celje
25.7% | Draw
25.3% | AEK Athens
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Athens's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Celje - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.89 ↑
(3.13) |
3.86 ↑
(3.57) |
1.97 ↓
(2.13) |
2.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Celje - AEK Athens?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). AEK will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 36.9% – 74.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Celje (votes: 1 - 12.5%). AEK (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Celje (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Celje (votes: 2 - 22.2%). AEK (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- Celje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Celje: Zabukovnik M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Jonsson J.
(Inactive)
Kaloskamis D.
(Inactive)
Kolimatsis C.
(Inactive)
Ljubicic R.
(Inactive)
Mitoglou G.
(Inactive)
Odubajo M.
(Inactive)
Pereyra R.
(Muscle Injury)
Zini
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against AEK Athens?
Celje has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Celje?
AEK Athens has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celje - AEK Athens were as follows:
Latest results of AEK Athens
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
