Celje vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Celje - AEK Athens
Result
3:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 17
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.000.21
Ball Possession
0%100%
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
00
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.000.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.07
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
00
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
01
Shots outside the Box
00
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
00
Touches in opposition box
02
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Expected assists (xA)
0.000.17
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Duels won
00
Clearances
00
Interceptions
00
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.070.00
Goals prevented
-0.93-3.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Kutesa D. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
  • 18', Strakosha T. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Kovacevic F. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Kovacevic F. ⚽,
  • 57', Eliasson N. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
  • 57', Marin R. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
  • 63', Grujic M. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
  • 64', Rota L. 🟨,
  • 70', Hrka D. 🟨,
  • 74', Mantalos P. 🟨,
  • 74', Hrka D. ↓, Daniel P. ↑,
  • 78', Lisakovich V. 🟨,
  • 79', Kvesic M. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
  • 79', Lisakovich V. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
  • 79', Pilios S. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
  • 79', Kutesa D. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Kovacevic F. ⚽, Avdyli M. (A),
  • 84', Kovacevic F. ↓, Poplatnik M. ↑,
  • 84', Sturm D. ↓, Pozeg R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Celje
25.7%		Draw
25.3%		AEK Athens
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 26.2% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 25.3% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Athens's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    Celje - AEK Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.89 ↑
    (3.13)    		 3.86 ↑
    (3.57)    		 1.97 ↓
    (2.13)    		 2.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Celje - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). AEK will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 36.9% – 74.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Celje (votes: 1 - 20%). AEK (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
    • Celje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Celje: Zabukovnik M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Jonsson J. (Inactive) Kaloskamis D. (Inactive) Kolimatsis C. (Inactive) Ljubicic R. (Inactive) Mitoglou G. (Inactive) Odubajo M. (Inactive) Pereyra R. (Muscle Injury) Zini (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Celje
    27.09.2025 Celje - Maribor 3:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Primorje - Celje 2:3 ✺
    14.09.2025 Koper - Celje 3:3 ✺
    31.08.2025 Celje - Domžale 4:1 ✺
    28.08.2025 Baník Ostrava - Celje 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    28.09.2025 AEK Athens - Volos 1:0 ✺
    24.09.2025 AEK Athens - Panetolikos 2:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 AEL Larissa - AEK Athens 1:1 ✺
    17.09.2025 Egaleo - AEK Athens 0:1
    14.09.2025 Levadiakos - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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