Result
0:2
19/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 14 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1, COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 9 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 9 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (349/405) | 87% (498/573) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (349/405) | 87% (498/573) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (14/33) | 57% (23/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (110/142) | 59% (41/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Iosifov N. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
- 23', Calusic I. 🟨,
- 37', Gacinovic M. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 2, Pozeg R. ⚽, Juanjo Nieto (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Juanjo Nieto ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
- 46', Iosifov N. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
- 52', Gacinovic M. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
- 52', Kutesa D. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
- 62', Seslar S. ↓, Kvesic M. ↑,
- 66', Poplatnik M. ↓, Kucys A. ↑,
- 77', Calusic I. ↓, Karnicnik Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Athens
74.5% | Draw
16% | Celje
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
AEK Athens - Celje Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.35) |
5.82 ↑
(5.01) |
9.92 ↑
(8.94) |
6.2%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Celje?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Celje will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 72.9% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 4-0. Second leg.
- AEK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Celje's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, AEK is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Grujic M.
(Inactive)
Joao Mario
(Inactive)
Jonsson J.
(Inactive)
Ljubicic R.
(Inactive)
Sahabo H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Celje: Pranjic J.
(Inactive)
Vukasovic N.
(Inactive)
Zabukovnik M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Celje: Kolar L.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Celje?
AEK Athens has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against AEK Athens?
Celje has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Celje were as follows:
12.03.2026
Celje
-
AEK Athens
0:4
02.10.2025
Celje
-
AEK Athens
3:1
Latest results of AEK Athens
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
