Shamrock Rovers vs Celje – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Shamrock Rovers - Celje
Result
0:2
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.832.09
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
85% (324/383)88% (470/537)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.832.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.811.45
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
85% (324/383)88% (470/537)
Long passes
49% (23/47)57% (24/42)
Passes in final third
76% (91/120)73% (85/117)
Crosses
32% (8/25)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.37
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
1414
Tackles
67% (6/9)50% (7/14)
Duels won
3244
Clearances
222
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.450.81
Goals prevented
-0.550.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Kvesic M. ,
  • 39', Lopes R. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Kovacevic F. , Bejger L. (A),
  • 43', Hrka D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Honohan J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Lisakovich V. , Avdyli M. ,
  • 55', Hrka D. , Daniel P. ,
  • 58', Mandroiu D. , Burke G. ,
  • 58', Matthews A. , Grace L. ,
  • 62', Malley C. , McEneff A. ,
  • 79', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
  • 82', Gaffney R. , Noonan M. ,
  • 83', Watts D. , McGovern J. ,
  • 83', Kovacevic F. , Poplatnik M. ,
  • 83', Kvesic M. , Vidovic I. ,
  • 87', Sturm D. , Pozeg R. ,
  • 89', Daniel P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Shamrock Rovers
16%
Draw
22.9%
Celje
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 28.4% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 27.6% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamrock Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celje's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shamrock Rovers - Celje Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.43
    (3.62)
    5.55
    (3.32)
    1.88
    (2.06)
    -16.8%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - Celje?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Celje will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 43.1%81.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Celje (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shamrock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Celje is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Celje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Celje is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Celje: Kucys A. (Knee Injury) Sluga S. (Inactive) Zabukovnik M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shamrock: Grant D. (Inactive) Honohan J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Shamrock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - Celje were as follows:
    15.08.2024 Shamrock Rovers - Celje 3:1
    08.08.2024 Celje - Shamrock Rovers 1:0
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    Latest results of Celje
    18.10.2025 Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0:0
    05.10.2025 Radomlje - Celje 0:3
    02.10.2025 Celje - AEK Athens 3:1
    27.09.2025 Celje - Maribor 3:0
    21.09.2025 Primorje - Celje 2:3
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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