Result
0:2
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 15 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ireland | Premier Sports 1 ROI |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 16 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 19 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (324/383) | 88% (470/537) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (324/383) | 88% (470/537) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (23/47) | 57% (24/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (91/120) | 73% (85/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 2 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 33', 0 - 1, Kvesic M. ⚽,
- 39', Lopes R. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Kovacevic F. ⚽, Bejger L. (A),
- 43', Hrka D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Honohan J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Lisakovich V. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
- 55', Hrka D. ↓, Daniel P. ↑,
- 58', Mandroiu D. ↓, Burke G. ↑,
- 58', Matthews A. ↓, Grace L. ↑,
- 62', Malley C. ↓, McEneff A. ↑,
- 79', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
- 82', Gaffney R. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
- 83', Watts D. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
- 83', Kovacevic F. ↓, Poplatnik M. ↑,
- 83', Kvesic M. ↓, Vidovic I. ↑,
- 87', Sturm D. ↓, Pozeg R. ↑,
- 89', Daniel P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamrock Rovers
16% | Draw
22.9% | Celje
61.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamrock Rovers's form might have worsened.Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celje's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shamrock Rovers - Celje Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.43 ↑
(3.62) |
5.55 ↑
(3.32) |
1.88 ↓
(2.06) |
-16.8%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - Celje?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Celje will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 43.1% – 81.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Shamrock (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH 0 - Shamrock (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celje will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Celje (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Shamrock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Celje is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Celje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Celje is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Celje: Kucys A.
(Knee Injury)
Sluga S.
(Inactive)
Zabukovnik M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shamrock: Grant D.
(Inactive)
Honohan J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Shamrock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against Celje?
Shamrock Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Shamrock Rovers?
Celje has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - Celje were as follows:
15.08.2024
Shamrock Rovers
-
Celje
3:1
08.08.2024
Celje
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:0
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
