Celoricense vs Desportivo Monção – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group A  Celoricense - Desportivo Monção
Result
5:2
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
112
Corner Kicks
80
Total shots
174
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
80
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 0, ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Tigas ,
  • 75', 4 - 1, ,
  • 87', 5 - 1, ,
  • 90', 5 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Celoricense
76.3%
Draw
14%
Desportivo Monção
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 26.4% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 25.3% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celoricense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celoricense's performance.
  • Desportivo Monção has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desportivo Monção might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celoricense than the current prediction. (-19.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celoricense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desportivo Monção could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Celoricense - Desportivo Monção Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.64)
    7.96
    (3.4)
    11.24
    (4.75)
    6.6%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Celoricense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Desportivo Monção is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Celoricense has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Celoricense is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Celoricense will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Celoricense
    21.09.2025 Celoricense - Mafra 1:0
    14.09.2025 Mirandela - Celoricense 0:1
    31.08.2025 Celoricense - Celeirós 1:0
    17.08.2025 Celoricense - Bragança 1:2
    Latest results of Desportivo Monção
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chaves B641110:5513
    2AD Limianos54018:4412
    3Camacha632112:5711
    4GD Braganca63128:9-110
    5Celoricense530213:769
    6SC Vianense62228:9-18
    7Machico52217:618
    8Brito62226:7-18
    9Tirsense614110:737
    10Ribeira Brava42115:7-27
    11SC Mirandela52035:506
    12Vilaverdense30120:2-21
    13Desportivo Moncao50143:12-91
    14Sao Martinho60150:10-101

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