Result
1:2
04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 25
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | Red TV, SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Digi Online |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Celtic TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (279/380) | 85% (541/639) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (279/380) | 85% (541/639) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (23/70) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (56/99) | 77% (155/201) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Tierney K. ⚽, Scales L. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Nisbet K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', Nilsen S. 🟨,
- 41', Olusanya T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Cvancara T. ↓, Nygren B. ↑,
- 61', McCowan L. ↓, Maeda D. ↑,
- 62', Olusanya T. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 62', Nilsen S. ↓, Morrison L. ↑,
- 65', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
- 65', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Nygren B. ⚽, Forrest J. (A),
- 69', Geiger D. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
- 76', Forrest J. 🟨,
- 79', Milne J. ↓, Lobban D. ↑,
- 80', Jensen A. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
- 87', Araujo J. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
- 89', Hatate R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aberdeen
17.8% | Draw
22.1% | Celtic
60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Aberdeen - Celtic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.34 ↑
(5.15) |
4.32 ↑
(4.02) |
1.57 ↑
(1.55) |
5.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Celtic?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Celtic will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 65.7% – 95.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Celtic (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.5 - Aberdeen (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celtic will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Celtic (votes: 14 - 93.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 1.
- Aberdeen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Celtic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aberdeen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Celtic is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Molloy G.
(Knee Injury)
Shinnie G.
(Red Card)
Suman N.
(Ankle Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Johnston A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jota
(Knee Injury)
Osmand C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Afeez A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 17:59. (average 0.9:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Celtic?
Aberdeen has won 1 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celtic won against Aberdeen?
Celtic has won 12 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberdeen - Celtic were as follows:
21.12.2025
Celtic
-
Aberdeen
3:1
10.08.2025
Aberdeen
-
Celtic
0:2
24.05.2025
Aberdeen
-
Celtic
2:1
14.05.2025
Aberdeen
-
Celtic
1:5
25.02.2025
Celtic
-
Aberdeen
5:1
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Celtic ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 56:32 | 24 | 61 |
| 3 | Rangers ✔ | 30 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 60 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38:38 | 0 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 38:48 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 33:60 | -27 | 24 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
