Result
2:2
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 2 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | Celtic TV, Hearts TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (235/360) | 65% (200/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (235/360) | 65% (200/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (26/70) | 24% (17/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (71/129) | 46% (33/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Nygren B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, Findlay S. ⚽, Leonard M. (A),
- 62', 1 - 2, Yang Hyun-Jun ⚽, Cvancara T. (A),
- 64', Cvancara T. 🟨,
- 65', Magnusson T. 🟨,
- 66', Cvancara T. ↓, Tounekti S. ↑,
- 71', McCart J. ↓, McEntee O. ↑,
- 71', Magnusson T. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
- 73', Tierney K. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
- 77', Trusty A. 🟥,
- 77', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
- 79', Araujo J. 🟨,
- 82', McEntee O. 🟨,
- 86', Steinwender M. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Braga C. ⚽, McEntee O. (A),
- 89', Findlay S. 🟨,
- 89', McGregor C. 🟨,
- 89', Engels A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kabore P. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
- 90+7', Tounekti S. 🟨,
- 90+8', Schmeichel K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hearts
29.8% | Draw
27.7% | Celtic
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hearts's form might have worsened.Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Hearts - Celtic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↑
(2.63) |
3.4 ↓
(3.64) |
2.24 ↓
(2.48) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hearts - Celtic?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Celtic will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 53.9% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Celtic (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Celtic (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celtic will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Hearts (votes: 3 - 20%). Celtic (votes: 12 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 2.
- Hearts has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Celtic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Celtic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Hamstring Injury)
Baningime B.
(Red Card)
McEntee O.
(Inactive)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Iheanacho K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johnston A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jota
(Knee Injury)
Osmand C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Saracchi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Kingsley S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 24:47. (average 1.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.4:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Celtic?
Hearts has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celtic won against Hearts?
Celtic has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Celtic were as follows:
07.12.2025
Celtic
-
Hearts
1:2
26.10.2025
Hearts
-
Celtic
3:1
29.03.2025
Celtic
-
Hearts
3:0
23.11.2024
Hearts
-
Celtic
1:4
14.09.2024
Celtic
-
Hearts
2:0
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
