Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 28
- Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Celtic TV, Hibs TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (556/622) | 82% (330/401) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 58 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (556/622) | 82% (330/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (19/34) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (234/279) | 69% (35/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Passlack F. ⚽, Cadden N. (A),
- 25', McGregor C. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Nygren B. ⚽, Tierney K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Cadden N. 🟨,
- 60', Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↓, Maeda D. ↑,
- 60', Cvancara T. ↓, Hatate R. ↑,
- 60', Boyle M. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
- 60', Elding O. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
- 69', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
- 69', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- 74', Tounekti S. ↓, Arthur B. ↑,
- 74', Trusty A. 🟥,
- 78', Barlaser D. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,
- 78', Cadden N. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
- 85', Scales L. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 2, Andrews K. ⚽, Suto A. (A),
Chances of winning
Celtic 66.2% | Draw 19.6% | Hibernian 14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Celtic - Hibernian Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.44) |
4.79 ↑ (4.72) |
6.55 ↑ (6.53) |
6.7% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Celtic - Hibernian?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Hibernian will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Celtic (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Hibernian (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Hibernian (5.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Celtic (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hibernian (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ))
- Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 3.
- Celtic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Hibernian has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Celtic has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Celtic is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Engels A.
(Injury)
Johnston A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jota
(Knee Injury)
Osmand C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Hibernian: Garananga M.
(Inactive)
Hanley G.
(Injury)
Mulligan J.
(Injury)
Obita J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Celtic will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:15. (average 2.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Celtic won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 2.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Celtic won against Hibernian?
Celtic has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Celtic?
Hibernian has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celtic - Hibernian were as follows:
30.11.2025
Hibernian
-
Celtic
1:2
27.09.2025
Celtic
-
Hibernian
0:0
10.05.2025
Celtic
-
Hibernian
3:1
09.03.2025
Celtic
-
Hibernian
2:0
22.02.2025
Hibernian
-
Celtic
2:1
Latest results of Hibernian
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )