Result
1:0 penalties
26/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Hungary | RTL+, Sport 1 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Ireland | Premier Sports 1 ROI |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | Wowow Prime |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 2, Canal+ Sport 1 |
 Malta | TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Prime |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | TRT 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (219/343) | 83% (600/720) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (219/343) | 83% (600/720) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (22/83) | 29% (17/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (65/135) | 65% (97/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 43 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (22/36) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Glazer D. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
- 70', Forrest J. ↓, Engels A. ↑,
- 70', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 75', Tierney K. ↓, Murray D. ↑,
- 80', Ricardinho ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 101', Hatate R. 🟨,
- 106', Hatate R. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
- 106', Ralston A. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
- 117', Tapalov E. ↓, Stanojev J. ↑,
- 119', Mata L. ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Idah A. (Pen),
- 1, Gromyko V. (Pen),
- 2, McCowan L. (Pen),
- 2, Martynovich A. (Pen),
- 3, Engels A. (Pen),
- 3, Arad O. (Pen),
- 4, McGregor C. (Pen),
- 4, Sorokin E. (Pen),
- 5, Maeda D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Kairat
16.7% | Draw
22.1% | Celtic
61.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kairat - Celtic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.65 ↓
(6.23) |
4.27 ↓
(4.87) |
1.56 ↑
(1.48) |
5.4%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kairat - Celtic?
Users Predictions:
64 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Celtic will win (votes: 50 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 68% – 88.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Kairat (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- TQ, OT - Celtic (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celtic will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Celtic (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- Kairat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Celtic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Celtic has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Celtic is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kairat: Elder Santana
(Knee Injury)
Joao Paulo
(Knee Injury)
Satpaev D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Celtic: Johnston A.
(Injury)
Jota
(Knee Injury)
Trusty A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kairat: Zarutskiy A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Celtic?
Kairat has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celtic won against Kairat?
Celtic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Celtic were as follows:
20.08.2025
Celtic
-
Kairat
0:0
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
