Kairat vs Celtic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Kairat - Celtic
Result
1:0 penalties
26/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2, Canal+ Sport 1
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.17
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
64% (219/343)83% (600/720)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.180.81
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
64% (219/343)83% (600/720)
Long passes
27% (22/83)29% (17/59)
Passes in final third
48% (65/135)65% (97/149)
Crosses
19% (5/27)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.13
Throw-ins
2743
Fouls
1219
Tackles
61% (22/36)69% (11/16)
Duels won
7563
Clearances
5140
Interceptions
1412
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.810.18
Goals prevented
0.810.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Glazer D. , Kasabulat D. ,
  • 70', Forrest J. , Engels A. ,
  • 70', Yang Hyun-Jun , Idah A. ,
  • 75', Tierney K. , Murray D. ,
  • 80', Ricardinho , Bagdat R. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 101', Hatate R. 🟨,
  • 106', Hatate R. , McCowan L. ,
  • 106', Ralston A. , Donovan C. ,
  • 117', Tapalov E. , Stanojev J. ,
  • 119', Mata L. , Baybek O. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Idah A. (Pen),
  • 1, Gromyko V. (Pen),
  • 2, McCowan L. (Pen),
  • 2, Martynovich A. (Pen),
  • 3, Engels A. (Pen),
  • 3, Arad O. (Pen),
  • 4, McGregor C. (Pen),
  • 4, Sorokin E. (Pen),
  • 5, Maeda D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Kairat
16.7%
Draw
22.1%
Celtic
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.4% 19.7% 64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15% 19.2% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kairat - Celtic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.65
    (6.23)
    4.27
    (4.87)
    1.56
    (1.48)
    5.4%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kairat - Celtic?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Celtic will win (votes: 50 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 68%88.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celtic will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • Kairat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Celtic is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Celtic has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Celtic is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Kairat: Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Satpaev D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Celtic: Johnston A. (Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Trusty A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kairat: Zarutskiy A. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Celtic were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0
    Latest results of Kairat
    20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0
    16.08.2025 Kairat - Yelimay Semey 2:3
    12.08.2025 Slovan Bratislava - Kairat 1:1
    06.08.2025 Kairat - Slovan Bratislava 1:0
    02.08.2025 Kairat - Ulytau 1:0
    Latest results of Celtic
    23.08.2025 Celtic - Livingston 3:0
    20.08.2025 Celtic - Kairat 0:0
    15.08.2025 Celtic - Falkirk 4:1
    10.08.2025 Aberdeen - Celtic 0:2
    03.08.2025 Celtic - St. Mirren 1:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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