Result
3:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 30
- Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Celtic TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (418/482) | 88% (497/562) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (418/482) | 88% (497/562) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 52% (29/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (86/112) | 76% (97/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Just E. ⚽, Slattery C. (A),
- 38', 1 - 1, Yang Hyun-Jun ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tounekti S. ↓, Cvancara T. ↑,
- 50', Donovan C. 🟨,
- 62', Nygren B. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
- 63', Hatate R. 🟨,
- 64', Just E. 🟨,
- 71', Longelo E. 🟥,
- 72', Ward C. 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 1, Cvancara T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- 78', Donovan C. ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
- 78', Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
- 78', Fadinger L. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 78', Said I. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Yang Hyun-Jun ⚽,
- 82', Ralston A. 🟨,
- 83', Just E. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 83', Sparrow T. ↓, McGhee J. ↑,
- 90+1', Maswanhise T. ↓, Ross L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Celtic 55.8% | Draw 23.6% | Motherwell 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+1%)
Celtic - Motherwell Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↓ (1.76) |
4.01 ↑ (3.73) |
4.62 ↑ (4.12) |
5.4% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Celtic - Motherwell?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Motherwell will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 49.9% – 90.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celtic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 4.
- Celtic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Motherwell has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Celtic has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Celtic is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Engels A.
(Injury)
Johnston A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jota
(Knee Injury)
Osmand C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Schmeichel K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Motherwell: Hendry C.
(Injury)
Koutroumbis J.
(Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Fadinger L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 54:13. (average 2.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Celtic won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:6. (average 2.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Celtic won against Motherwell?
Celtic has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Celtic?
Motherwell has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celtic - Motherwell were as follows:
30.12.2025
Motherwell
-
Celtic
2:0
05.10.2025
Celtic
-
Motherwell
3:2
02.02.2025
Motherwell
-
Celtic
1:3
26.12.2024
Celtic
-
Motherwell
4:0
27.10.2024
Motherwell
-
Celtic
0:3
Latest results of Motherwell
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 53:25 | 28 | 66 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 31 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 56:26 | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 56:34 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 40:48 | -8 | 37 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31:49 | -18 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 25:47 | -22 | 27 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 35:60 | -25 | 27 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 31 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 31:61 | -30 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )