Céltiga vs Arosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Santos S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 67', 2 - 1, ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Lopez I. ,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Lombao A. C. ,
  • 81', 3 - 3, ,
  • 90', 3 - 4, Seijo A. ,

Chances of winning


Céltiga
31%
Draw
31.5%
Arosa
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 28.4% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 28.3% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Céltiga - Arosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.83)
    2.9
    (3.2)
    2.43
    (2.3)
    9.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Arosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Céltiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Céltiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Céltiga
    21.12.2025 Céltiga - Noia 1:0
    14.12.2025 RC Villalbes - Céltiga 1:0
    06.12.2025 Céltiga - Barbadás 2:0
    23.11.2025 Alondras - Céltiga 1:0
    Latest results of Arosa
    11.01.2026 Arosa - Juventud Cambados 1:1
    21.12.2025 Boiro - Arosa 3:0
    14.12.2025 Arosa - Barco 2:0
    07.12.2025 Compostela - Arosa 1:0
    23.11.2025 Arosa - Estradense 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation