Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 12
  • Referee: Mackie B. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.021.05
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
2315
Shots on target
114
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
50
Passes
75% (290/388)77% (307/400)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.021.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.60
Total shots
2315
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
78
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
148
Shots outside the box
97
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
3719
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1011
Passes
75% (290/388)77% (307/400)
Long passes
42% (28/66)42% (29/69)
Passes in final third
58% (64/110)54% (49/91)
Crosses
25% (5/20)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.02
Throw ins
2222
Fouls
1110
Tackles
77% (17/22)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
2128
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
28
xGOT faced
1.601.91
Goals prevented
-0.400.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', Di Sipio I. , Fuller T. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Brown K. , Copus-Brown L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Trimis P. , Prakash A. (A),
  • 66', Kraszula G. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Rasmussen A. , Trimis P. (A),
  • 75', Copus-Brown L. , Ayres M. ,
  • 75', Brown K. , Allan L. ,
  • 75', Lancaster C. , Allan J. ,
  • 84', Karipidis Z. , Page O. ,
  • 87', Prakash A. , Levin T. ,
  • 87', Trimis P. , Farrow M. ,
  • 88', Quilligan T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Newcastle Jets
28.9%
Draw
25.9%
Central Coast Mariners
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 27.6% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 26.8% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (2.88)
    3.54
    (3.28)
    2.02
    (2.21)
    9.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Central Coast (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Newcastle Jets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Central Coast has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 4:1
    19.04.2025 Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners 1:2
    01.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 5:1
    28.01.2024 Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners 0:2
    14.10.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 0:1
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    Australian A-League Women Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W20124436:201640
    2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:172134
    3Canberra W2094730:24631
    4Brisbane Roar W2094737:39-231
    5Adelaide W2093824:26-230
    6Melbourne Victory W2084827:24328
    7Central Coast Mariners W2077627:26128
    8Perth W20731020:30-1024
    9Newcastle W20721130:36-623
    10Sydney W2047918:29-1119
    11WS Wanderers W20541118:34-1619

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