Result
1:2
12/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 14
- Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Acosta R. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Genes N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Dell Aquila N. ⚽,
- 52', Maidana A. 🟨,
- 61', Chavarria C. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
- 68', Salerno M. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
- 68', Curcio N. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
- 69', Genes N. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
- 69', Acosta R. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
- 72', Castilla G. 🟨,
- 74', Porto J. 🟨,
- 76', Maidana A. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
- 79', Dell Aquila N. 🟨,
- 83', Sanz P. ↓, Banega T. ↑,
- 83', Ribero M. ↓, Alvacete J. ↑,
- 85', Yangali J. ↓, Tello F. ↑,
- 85', Uriburu R. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Tello F. ⚽,
- 90+3', Rinaudo S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Central Norte
46.7% | Draw
31.9% | San Telmo
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Central Norte - San Telmo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.93) |
2.92 ↓
(3.35) |
4.3 ↑
(3.95) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Central Norte - San Telmo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 4 - 50%). San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Central Norte: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Central Norte (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
- Central Norte is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, San Telmo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- San Telmo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Central Norte is considered a favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Norte won against San Telmo?
Central Norte has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Central Norte?
San Telmo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Norte - San Telmo were as follows:
Latest results of Central Norte
Latest results of San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Tristan Suarez | 27 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | San Martin T | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 39 |
| 7 | Patronato | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | All Boys | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 14 | Almagro | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 | Ferro | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 26 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 25 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:38 | -12 | 24 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 29:12 | 17 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 47 |
| 3 | Chacarita Juniors | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Deportivo Moron | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 28:21 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28:18 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | CA Mitre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 18:20 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Def. de Belgrano | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 20:33 | -13 | 27 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 13:32 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
