Result
1:2
12/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 14
- Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Acosta R. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Genes N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Dell Aquila N. ⚽,
- 52', Maidana A. 🟨,
- 61', Chavarria C. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
- 68', Salerno M. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
- 68', Curcio N. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
- 69', Genes N. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
- 69', Acosta R. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
- 72', Castilla G. 🟨,
- 74', Porto J. 🟨,
- 76', Maidana A. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
- 79', Dell Aquila N. 🟨,
- 83', Sanz P. ↓, Banega T. ↑,
- 83', Ribero M. ↓, Alvacete J. ↑,
- 85', Yangali J. ↓, Tello F. ↑,
- 85', Uriburu R. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Tello F. ⚽,
- 90+3', Rinaudo S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Central Norte
46.7% | Draw
31.9% | San Telmo
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Central Norte - San Telmo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.93) |
2.92 ↓
(3.35) |
4.3 ↑
(3.95) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Central Norte - San Telmo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 4 - 50%). San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Central Norte: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Central Norte (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
- Central Norte is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, San Telmo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- San Telmo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Central Norte is considered a favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Norte won against San Telmo?
Central Norte has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Central Norte?
San Telmo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Norte - San Telmo were as follows:
Latest results of Central Norte
Latest results of San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 28:19 | 9 | 51 |
| 2 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 41:26 | 15 | 50 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 45 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 27:18 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | San Martin T | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 44 |
| 7 | Patronato | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 40 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 37 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 19:23 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 12 | All Boys | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 24:28 | -4 | 34 |
| 15 | Ferro | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 19:31 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 30 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 17:27 | -10 | 28 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 16 | 56 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 54 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 50 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:20 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Temperley | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 25:19 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 47 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 41 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 25:26 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 23:31 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 21:35 | -14 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 22:34 | -12 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 17:48 | -31 | 19 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 13:36 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
