Central Stags vs Wellington Firebirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
349:138
19/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • The Ford Trophy - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Central Stags
54.7%
Wellington Firebirds
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Stags has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Wellington Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Stags than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Firebirds than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.69)

    2.06
    (2.15)
    6.7%
    (6%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Stags won 4.
    • Central Stags is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Wellington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Central Stags will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Stags won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 3588:3390. (average 179.4:169.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Central Stags won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2622:2213. (average 218.5:184.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds were as follows:
    03.02.2026 Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags 289:307
    06.01.2026 Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags 195:197
    26.12.2025 Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds 188:142
    25.11.2025 Wellington Firebirds - Central Stags 196:0
    24.10.2025 Central Stags - Wellington Firebirds 201:199
    Latest results of Central Stags
    16.02.2026 Central Stags - Canterbury Kings 276:254
    12.02.2026 Central Stags - Otago Volts Abandoned
    09.02.2026 Northern Brave - Central Stags 309:240
    06.02.2026 Central Stags - Auckland Aces 164:163
    Latest results of Wellington Firebirds
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Canterbury Kings (1)Bye
    2Central Stags (2)Wellington Firebirds (3)349 : 138

    Final
    1Canterbury Kings (1)Central Stags (2)302 : 303