Result
2:3
22/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DAZN |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Bolivia | DAZN |
Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Denmark | DAZN |
Ecuador | DAZN |
Finland | DAZN |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Paraguay | DAZN |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Uruguay | DAZN |
Usa | DAZN USA |
Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (566/647) | 71% (180/253) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 2.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (566/647) | 71% (180/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 30% (14/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (166/212) | 58% (46/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.59 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, Diop E. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Cvetkovic M. ⚽, Hazard T. (A),
- 28', 1 - 2, Gerkens P. ⚽, Kakou E. (A),
- 35', 1 - 3, Kakou E. ⚽, Magnee G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tajaouart A. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
- 53', Nazinho 🟨,
- 57', Diakite O. ↓, Ngoura S. ↑,
- 57', Vanzeir D. ↓, Agyekum L. ↑,
- 73', Ilic M. 🟨,
- 77', Stroeykens M. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
- 77', Ilic M. ↓, Rits M. ↑,
- 80', Diop E. 🟨,
- 85', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
- 89', Degreef T. ↓, Maamar A. ↑,
- 90', Valy K. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Hazard T. ⚽, Maamar A. (A),
Chances of winning
Anderlecht 46.6% | Draw 26.5% | Cercle Brugge 26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-3%)
Anderlecht - Cercle Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↑ (1.88) |
3.57 ↓ (3.74) |
3.53 ↓ (3.83) |
5.9% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Cercle Brugge?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.25 - Cercle Brugge (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Anderlecht will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Anderlecht will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cercle Brugge (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Cercle Brugge is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 4.
- Anderlecht has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cercle Brugge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Anderlecht could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Bertaccini A.
(Red Card)
Huerta Valera C. S.
(Groin Injury)
Kana M.
(Thigh Injury)
Sikan D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Erick Nunes
(Knock)
Herrmann C.
(Injury)
Ouattara A. K.
(Muscle Injury)
Ravych C.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:13. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Cercle Brugge?
Anderlecht has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Anderlecht?
Cercle Brugge has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Cercle Brugge were as follows:
03.08.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Anderlecht
0:2
10.11.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Anderlecht
0:5
28.04.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Anderlecht
1:1
24.04.2024
Anderlecht
-
Cercle Brugge
3:0
27.12.2023
Anderlecht
-
Cercle Brugge
2:0
Latest results of Anderlecht
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )