Result
2:3
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 18
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (300/381) | 79% (293/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 3.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (300/381) | 79% (293/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (66/105) | 71% (84/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.59 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 28', Struyf I. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Hammar F. ⚽, Servais M. (A),
- 39', 0 - 2, Lauberbach L. ⚽, Servais M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Struyf I. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
- 46', Minda A. ↓, Gerkens P. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Nazinho ⚽, Agyekum L. (A),
- 49', 1 - 3, Diouf G. ⚽,
- 71', Diop E. ↓, Jurado H. ↑,
- 71', Agyekum L. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
- 80', Salifou D. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
- 82', Adewumi O. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
- 82', Ngoura S. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
- 83', Ravych C. 🟨,
- 89', St. Jago T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Koudou T. ↓, Decoene M. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 3, Magnee G. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Cercle Brugge
57.6% | Draw
23% | KV Mechelen
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cercle Brugge's performance.KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KV Mechelen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cercle Brugge that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.83) |
4.09 ↑
(3.75) |
4.93 ↑
(3.75) |
5.9%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Mechelen will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cercle Brugge: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Mechelen (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Mechelen (3.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 2.
- Cercle Brugge has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mechelen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cercle Brugge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cercle Brugge is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Valy K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Halhal R.
(Ankle Injury)
Kiki
(Surgery)
Kireev M.
(Muscle Injury)
Teague R.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against KV Mechelen?
Cercle Brugge has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Cercle Brugge?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen were as follows:
21.09.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Cercle Brugge
0:0
12.01.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
22.09.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Cercle Brugge
2:0
02.03.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
KV Mechelen
2:3
28.10.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Cercle Brugge
0:2
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
