Result
0:0
21/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 8
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/335) | 76% (257/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/335) | 76% (257/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (35/71) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 62% (78/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 39% (9/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Gerkens P. 🟨,
- 22', Agyekum L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Zekri M. ↓, Marsa J. ↑,
- 68', Mrabti K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
- 68', Raman B. ↓, van Brederode M. ↑,
- 69', Adewumi O. 🟨,
- 75', Adewumi O. ↓, Erick Nunes ↑,
- 75', Koudou T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 86', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
- 87', Diakite O. ↓, Bayo A. ↑,
- 90+5', Diouf G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
40% | Draw
27.7% | Cercle Brugge
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.32) |
3.4 ↓
(3.9) |
2.95 ↑
(2.77) |
4.5%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
Kireev M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ozdemir H.
(Collarbone injury)
Salifou D.
(Injury)
St. Jago T.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diakite I.
(Broken ankle)
Ouattara A. K.
(Broken Leg)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Cercle Brugge?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against KV Mechelen?
Cercle Brugge has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge were as follows:
12.01.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
22.09.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Cercle Brugge
2:0
02.03.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
KV Mechelen
2:3
28.10.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Cercle Brugge
0:2
23.12.2022
KV Mechelen
-
Cercle Brugge
1:1
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | St. Truiden | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Waregem | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Gent | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | St. Liege | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Charleroi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leuven | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4:18 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
