Result
0:2
21/12/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 19
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (291/381) | 64% (183/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (291/381) | 64% (183/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (38/79) | 33% (19/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (75/115) | 51% (57/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Gerkens P. ⚽,
- 9', Agyekum L. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 2, Gerkens P. ⚽, Ngoura S. (A),
- 28', Pletinckx E. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 28', Teklab H. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
- 41', Opoku D. 🟨,
- 43', Gerkens P. 🟨,
- 45+2', Kaba S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lakomy L. ↓, George W. ↑,
- 46', Maziz Y. ↓, Verlinden T. ↑,
- 59', Utkus E. 🟨,
- 67', Mazzu F. 🟨,
- 67', Verstraete B. 🟨,
- 78', Dussenne N. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 80', Gerkens P. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
- 80', Agyekum L. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
- 83', Diop E. 🟨,
- 85', Ngoura S. ↓, Kakou E. ↑,
- 90+3', Nyakossi R. 🟨,
- 90+7', Warleson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
37.2% | Draw
28% | Cercle Brugge
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.45) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
2.71 ↓
(2.78) |
6.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leuven: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 1.
- Leuven is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cercle Brugge is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Cercle Brugge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Knock)
Vlietinck T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diakite O.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Nyakossi R.
(Injury)
Schrijvers S.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Cercle Brugge?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Cercle Brugge has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge were as follows:
08.11.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:2
22.12.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:0
18.08.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Cercle Brugge
1:1
16.12.2023
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Cercle Brugge
1:2
07.10.2023
Cercle Brugge
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3:2
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
