Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 21
- Referee: Put B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (444/549) | 60% (148/246) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (444/549) | 60% (148/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (19/39) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (94/134) | 45% (52/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Bayram E. (Own goal),
- 23', Magnee G. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 2, Adewumi O. ⚽, Magnee G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mbamba-Muanda L. ↓, Smekens R. ↑,
- 46', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
- 64', Alcocer J. ↓, Bohamdi-Kamoni N. ↑,
- 70', Nazinho 🟨,
- 73', Diakite I. 🟨,
- 74', Adewumi O. ↓, Vanzeir D. ↑,
- 74', Sakamoto I. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 74', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
- 78', Warleson 🟨,
- 82', Diop E. ↓, Erick Nunes ↑,
- 85', Nacho ↓, Goure F. ↑,
- 90+1', Ngoura S. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Westerlo
40.1% | Draw
26.8% | Cercle Brugge
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Westerlo - Cercle Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.07) |
3.51 ↓
(3.62) |
2.86 ↓
(3.15) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Westerlo - Cercle Brugge?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 19.9% – 64.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Cercle Brugge (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cercle Brugge (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 2.
- Westerlo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cercle Brugge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Westerlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cercle Brugge has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Westerlo: Haidara B.
(Inactive)
Kimura S.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diaby I.
(Red Card)
Ouattara A. K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Westerlo: Alcocer J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Gerkens P.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Cercle Brugge?
Westerlo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Westerlo?
Cercle Brugge has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - Cercle Brugge were as follows:
17.08.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Westerlo
4:1
16.02.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Westerlo
1:1
28.07.2024
Westerlo
-
Cercle Brugge
3:0
30.01.2024
Westerlo
-
Cercle Brugge
4:2
02.09.2023
Cercle Brugge
-
Westerlo
2:1
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
