Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Thailand | Bugaboo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/438) | 88% (442/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/438) | 88% (442/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 40% (14/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (113/158) | 80% (90/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Kawasaki S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kida H. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 46', Vitor Bueno ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 52', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
- 59', Arai Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 59', Kawasaki S. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Thiago Andrade ⚽,
- 71', Fukuda Y. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
- 77', Hirakawa R. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
- 77', Onaga H. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
- 77', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 90', Kagawa S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 90+5', Rafael Ratao ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
45.6% | Draw
27.2% | Tokyo Verdy
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.19) |
3.44 ↑
(3.37) |
3.46 ↑
(3.43) |
5.9%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cerezo Osaka will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
- Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tokyo Verdy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cerezo Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Tokyo Verdy?
Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Cerezo Osaka?
Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
25.04.2025
Tokyo Verdy
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
06.07.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
09.03.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
