Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Thailand | Bugaboo |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.12 | 0.80 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
83% (365/438) | 88% (442/500) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.12 | 0.80 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.26 | 0.23 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
83% (365/438) | 88% (442/500) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (26/49) | 40% (14/35) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (113/158) | 80% (90/113) |
Crosses |
---|
45% (5/11) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.60 | 0.77 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (7/13) | 79% (15/19) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.23 | 1.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.77 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Kawasaki S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kida H. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 46', Vitor Bueno ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 52', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
- 59', Arai Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 59', Kawasaki S. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Thiago Andrade ⚽,
- 71', Fukuda Y. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
- 77', Hirakawa R. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
- 77', Onaga H. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
- 77', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 90', Kagawa S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 90+5', Rafael Ratao ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka 45.6% | Draw 27.2% | Tokyo Verdy 27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↓ (2.19) |
3.44 ↑ (3.37) |
3.46 ↑ (3.43) |
5.9% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cerezo Osaka will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
- Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tokyo Verdy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cerezo Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Tokyo Verdy?
Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Cerezo Osaka?
Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
25.04.2025
Tokyo Verdy
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
06.07.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
09.03.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
2 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
6 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League