Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka).

J1 League - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Thailand	Bugaboo

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	0.80
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
83% (365/438)	88% (442/500)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.26	0.23
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
21	15
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
4	5
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
83% (365/438)	88% (442/500)
Long passes
53% (26/49)	40% (14/35)
Passes in final third
72% (113/158)	80% (90/113)
Crosses
45% (5/11)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.60	0.77
Throw-ins
27	13
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
54% (7/13)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
45	50
Clearances
18	23
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.23	1.26
Goals prevented
-0.77	-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Kawasaki S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kida H. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
46', Vitor Bueno ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
52', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
59', Arai Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
59', Kawasaki S. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Thiago Andrade ⚽,
71', Fukuda Y. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
77', Hirakawa R. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
77', Onaga H. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
77', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
90', Kagawa S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
90+5', Rafael Ratao ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cerezo Osaka
45.6%

Draw
27.2%

Tokyo Verdy
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.19)	3.44 ↑ (3.37)	3.46 ↑ (3.43)	5.9% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cerezo Osaka will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tokyo Verdy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cerezo Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Tokyo Verdy?

Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Cerezo Osaka?

Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:

25.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka 1:0

06.07.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka 1:1

09.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy 2:1

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

14.06.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:2 ✺

11.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Arterivo Wakayama 5:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka 4:0 ✺

04.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC 4:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

11.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi 3:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

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      Relegation ~ J2 League