Progreso vs Cerrito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
26/10/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 19

Chances of winning


Progreso
64.5%
Draw
21.6%
Cerrito
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 24.1% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 23.4% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Progreso's performance.
  • Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Progreso that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Progreso - Cerrito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.57)
    4.21
    (3.74)
    6.54
    (4.9)
    10%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Progreso - Cerrito?
  • Users Predictions: Progreso will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Cerrito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Progreso is absolute favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Cerrito were as follows:
    10.06.2023 Cerrito - Progreso 1:3
    Latest results of Progreso
    22.10.2023 Potencia - Progreso 2:2
    15.10.2023 Progreso - Bella Vista 2:0
    07.10.2023 Rentistas - Progreso 3:0
    Latest results of Cerrito
    Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
    Torneo Competencia

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerrito32106:337
    2La Luz41305:416
    3Fenix31204:315
    4Uruguay Montevideo41214:405
    5Huracan FC30304:403
    6Tacuarembo30214:5-12
    7Atenas40133:7-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Plaza Colonia42206:158
    2Oriental32104:137
    3Colon41214:315
    4Rentistas31203:215
    5Paysandu FC31022:3-13
    6Miramar31021:4-33
    7River Plate40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Torneo Competencia ~ Play Offs: Final)