Result
0:1
09/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Romero F. 🟨,
- 31', Obregon E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jourdan E. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
- 46', Barone B. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 53', Siles P. 🟨,
- 62', Fracchia M. 🟨,
- 62', Fracchia M. ↓, Souza F. ↑,
- 67', Souza F. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
- 69', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
- 71', Lecchini R. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Montes G. (A),
- 77', Garcia M. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
- 78', Anasco M. 🟨,
- 87', Piegas A. 🟨,
- 89', Montes G. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
- 90+1', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
- 90+8', Bertocchi N. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
26.5% | Draw
32.6% | Montevideo City Torque
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(3.25) |
2.89 ↓
(3.28) |
2.27 ↑
(2.18) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Montevideo City will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Largo: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 1 - 25%). Montevideo City (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 2.
- Cerro Largo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Montevideo City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Montevideo City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Montevideo City could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Montevideo City Torque?
Cerro Largo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo City Torque won against Cerro Largo?
Montevideo City Torque has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
14.01.2026
Montevideo City Torque
-
Cerro Largo
2:3
20.09.2025
Montevideo City Torque
-
Cerro Largo
1:0
25.03.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Montevideo City Torque
1:1
04.11.2023
Cerro Largo
-
Montevideo City Torque
1:2
27.03.2023
Montevideo City Torque
-
Cerro Largo
1:2
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
