Imolese vs Certaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group D Imolese - Certaldo
Result
2:0
04/02/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 22

Chances of winning


Imolese
53.2%
Draw
27.7%
Certaldo
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 28.9% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 25.2% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Imolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imolese's performance.
  • Certaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imolese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Certaldo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Certaldo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Imolese - Certaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2.01)
    3.31
    (3.3)
    4.78
    (4.04)
    9.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Imolese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Certaldo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Certaldo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Imolese is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Imolese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Imolese - Certaldo were as follows:
    08.10.2023 Certaldo - Imolese 0:1
    Latest results of Imolese
    28.01.2024 Sammaurese - Imolese 1:0
    21.01.2024 Imolese - Progresso 3:1
    14.01.2024 Aglianese - Imolese 1:0
    07.01.2024 Imolese - Mezzolara 1:0
    20.12.2023 Imolese - Ravenna 0:1
    Latest results of Certaldo
    28.01.2024 Progresso - Certaldo 1:0
    14.01.2024 Mezzolara - Certaldo 0:2
    07.01.2024 Certaldo - Sammaurese 0:1
    20.12.2023 Certaldo - AC Carpi 1:3
    10.12.2023 Certaldo - Ravenna 0:0
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1