Conil vs Ceuta B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/11/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 0 - 2, ,
  • 84', 🟥,
  • 84', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Conil
25.4%
Draw
31.2%
Ceuta B
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 29% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 28.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conil's form might have worsened.
  • Ceuta B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta B's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conil than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Conil - Ceuta B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.95
    (2.22)
    3.21
    (3.1)
    2.32
    (2.96)
    -0.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Conil won 1.
    • Conil is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ceuta B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Conil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Conil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Conil - Ceuta B were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Ceuta B - Conil 2:0
    02.11.2024 Conil - Ceuta B 0:1
    03.03.2024 Conil - Ceuta B 0:0
    22.10.2023 Ceuta B - Conil 2:1
    04.02.2023 Conil - Ceuta B 3:0
    Latest results of Conil
    09.11.2025 Córdoba B - Conil 1:1
    02.11.2025 Conil - Chiclana 2:0
    26.10.2025 Conil - Tomares 2:0
    19.10.2025 Atlético Central - Conil 2:0
    12.10.2025 Conil - Utrera 4:2
    Latest results of Ceuta B
    01.11.2025 Utrera - Ceuta B 3:2
    19.10.2025 Cadiz CF B - Ceuta B 2:2
    12.10.2025 Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena 1:1
    04.10.2025 Bollullos - Ceuta B 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad de Lucena27167452:203255
    2Dos Hermanas27154854:322249
    3Linense271112440:241645
    4Bollullos26129534:221245
    5Cadiz CF B27127842:311143
    6San Roque271011636:28841
    7Atletico Central27118828:25341
    8Conil27117933:34-140
    9Pozoblanco27109835:32339
    10Ceuta B27108929:34-538
    11Chiclana2799933:37-436
    12Atl. Onubense26871127:32-531
    13Sevilla FC C27941430:35-531
    14Cordoba B26771231:37-628
    15Tomares UD26771224:34-1028
    16CD Utrera26761331:42-1127
    17Castilleja CF26471520:52-3219
    18Coria C.F27371717:45-2816

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