Conil vs Ceuta B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/11/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 0 - 2, ,
  • 84', 🟥,
  • 84', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Conil
25.4%
Draw
31.2%
Ceuta B
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 29% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 28.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Conil's form might have worsened.
  • Ceuta B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta B's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conil than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Conil - Ceuta B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.95
    (2.22)
    3.21
    (3.1)
    2.32
    (2.96)
    -0.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Conil won 1.
    • Conil is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ceuta B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Conil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Conil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Conil - Ceuta B were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Ceuta B - Conil 2:0
    02.11.2024 Conil - Ceuta B 0:1
    03.03.2024 Conil - Ceuta B 0:0
    22.10.2023 Ceuta B - Conil 2:1
    04.02.2023 Conil - Ceuta B 3:0
    Latest results of Conil
    09.11.2025 Córdoba B - Conil 1:1
    02.11.2025 Conil - Chiclana 2:0
    26.10.2025 Conil - Tomares 2:0
    19.10.2025 Atlético Central - Conil 2:0
    12.10.2025 Conil - Utrera 4:2
    Latest results of Ceuta B
    01.11.2025 Utrera - Ceuta B 3:2
    19.10.2025 Cadiz CF B - Ceuta B 2:2
    12.10.2025 Ceuta B - Ciudad de Lucena 1:1
    04.10.2025 Bollullos - Ceuta B 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad de Lucena24146443:172648
    2Linense231010336:211540
    3Dos Hermanas24124844:311340
    4Bollullos22116528:181039
    5Atletico Central24116728:24439
    6San Roque23108530:201038
    7Ceuta B23106727:27036
    8Cadiz CF B24106833:28536
    9Pozoblanco2398629:24535
    10Conil2497828:30-234
    11Chiclana2387828:32-431
    12Sevilla FC C23741224:30-625
    13Atl. Onubense23671023:29-625
    14Cordoba B23661128:34-624
    15Tomares UD23661120:30-1024
    16CD Utrera23641326:38-1222
    17Castilleja CF23471217:35-1819
    18Coria C.F23361415:39-2415

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