Málaga vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Málaga - Ceuta
Result
1:1
07/04/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Teguia C. ,
  • 33', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
  • 39', Melendez A. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Juande ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez F. , Lopez J. ,
  • 60', Rodriguez C. , Iglesias J. ,
  • 64', Ochoa A. , Lorenzo D. ,
  • 64', Ferreiro D. , Dioni ,
  • 74', Murillo D. , Garcia V. ,
  • 77', Villodres K. 🟨,
  • 81', Rodri , El Ftouhi S. ,
  • 81', Teguia C. , Garcia A. ,
  • 81', Ahmed A. , Caparros A. ,
  • 88', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 89', Villodres K. , Moussa D. ,
  • 90', Juande , Larrubia D. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Málaga
52%
Draw
27.4%
Ceuta
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.8% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 28.3% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Málaga - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.68)
    3.38
    (3.4)
    4.46
    (4.83)
    8.4%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Málaga - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Málaga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ceuta in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Málaga is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Ceuta were as follows:
    14.01.2024 Ceuta - Málaga 3:2
    Latest results of Málaga
    23.03.2024 Algeciras - Málaga 0:0
    17.03.2024 Málaga - Intercity 1:0
    03.03.2024 Málaga - Ibiza 1:0
    Latest results of Ceuta
    30.03.2024 Ceuta - Algeciras 3:2
    24.03.2024 Ibiza - Ceuta 1:2
    10.03.2024 Granada B - Ceuta 0:1
    03.03.2024 Ceuta - Intercity 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3