Mirandés vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro).

LaLiga2 - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.17	1.31
Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
10	4
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
8	4
Passes
72% (207/288)	76% (253/334)
Yellow cards
0	4
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.17	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.24	0.56
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked shots
3	1
Shots inside the box
14	6
Shots outside the box
6	2
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
33	23
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
5	2
Free kicks
18	6
Passes
72% (207/288)	76% (253/334)
Long passes
29% (15/51)	40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
59% (68/115)	68% (87/128)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.65	0.89
Throw ins
16	29
Fouls
6	18
Tackles
74% (14/19)	33% (7/21)
Duels won
66	51
Clearances
32	23
Interceptions
8	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	10
xGOT faced
0.56	1.24
Goals prevented
-0.44	1.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Zalazar K. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Jamelli (A),
45', Jamelli 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maras N. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
46', Bodiger Y. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
63', Clua S. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
74', Caparros A. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
74', Ahmed A. 🟨,
75', Ahmed A. 🟨,
84', Houary A. ↓, Sia D. ↑,
84', Jamelli ↓, Cantero Y. ↑,
84', Illescas M. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
86', Bassinga A. 🟨,
87', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
88', Mari A. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Mirandés
40.4%

Draw
30.4%

Ceuta
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirandés - Ceuta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.54)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)	3.22 ↑ (2.77)	6% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Mirandés - Ceuta?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirandés will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Mirandés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Nikic I. (Inactive) Perez P. (Knee Injury) Postigo S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Campana J. (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Youness (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Mirandés: Fernandez C. (Injury) Novoa Ramos H. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirandés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Ceuta?

Mirandés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Mirandés?

Ceuta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mirandés - Ceuta were as follows:

18.10.2025 Ceuta - Mirandés 2:0

Latest results of Mirandés

21.02.2026 Huesca - Mirandés 1:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Mirandés - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺

09.02.2026 Racing Santander - Mirandés 1:0 ✺

02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Ceuta

25.02.2026 Ceuta - Córdoba 3:2 ✺

20.02.2026 Ceuta - Granada 2:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Huesca - Ceuta 2:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Almería - Ceuta 4:2 ✺

26.01.2026 Ceuta - Leonesa 3:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

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