Result
0:1
01/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (207/288) | 76% (253/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (207/288) | 76% (253/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (15/51) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (68/115) | 68% (87/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 33% (7/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | 1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Zalazar K. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Jamelli (A),
- 45', Jamelli 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Maras N. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
- 46', Bodiger Y. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
- 63', Clua S. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
- 74', Caparros A. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
- 74', Ahmed A. 🟨,
- 75', Ahmed A. 🟨,
- 84', Houary A. ↓, Sia D. ↑,
- 84', Jamelli ↓, Cantero Y. ↑,
- 84', Illescas M. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
- 86', Bassinga A. 🟨,
- 87', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
- 88', Mari A. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirandés
40.4% | Draw
30.4% | Ceuta
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mirandés - Ceuta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.54) |
3.1 ↓
(3.27) |
3.22 ↑
(2.77) |
6%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirandés - Ceuta?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mirandés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P.
(Knee Injury)
Nikic I.
(Inactive)
Perez P.
(Knee Injury)
Postigo S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar
(Injury)
Campana J.
(Injury)
Domenech M.
(Injury)
Youness
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mirandés: Fernandez C.
(Injury)
Novoa Ramos H.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirandés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Ceuta?
Mirandés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Mirandés?
Ceuta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirandés - Ceuta were as follows:
18.10.2025
Ceuta
-
Mirandés
2:0
Latest results of Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
