Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 10
- Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (341/426) | 74% (267/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (341/426) | 74% (267/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/68) | 53% (30/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (67/107) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Matos Jose ⚽, Kone K. (A),
- 20', Jamelli 🟨,
- 30', Kone K. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
- 37', 2 - 0, de la Fuente K. ⚽, Fernandez Sanchez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Barea Fernandez I. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
- 49', Anuar 🟨,
- 67', Mari A. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
- 68', El Jebari S. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
- 68', Illesca M. ↓, Helguera T. ↑,
- 72', Bauza R. 🟨,
- 73', Ahmed A. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
- 73', Jamelli ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
- 73', Zalazar K. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 73', Cordoba I. ↓, Medrano F. ↑,
- 88', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/dxs8f469
Chances of winning
Ceuta
56.6% | Draw
27.2% | Mirandés
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirandés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceuta - Mirandés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.94) |
3.74 ↑
(3.43) |
6.44 ↑
(3.71) |
-1.5%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Mirandés?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Mirandés will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Ceuta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mirandés's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ceuta is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Almenara G.
(Injury)
Obeng S.
(Injury)
Ortuno J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mirandés: Nikic I.
(International duty)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Mirandés?
Ceuta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Ceuta?
Mirandés has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Mirandés were as follows:
Latest results of Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Las Palmas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Cadiz CF | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 18 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Almeria | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:17 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Valladolid | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Andorra | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Gijon | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
| 12 | Albacete | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Huesca | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Eibar | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 16 | Castellon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Cultural Leonesa | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Malaga | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 19 | Granada CF | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:17 | -11 | 6 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
