Mirandés vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.171.31
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
104
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
84
Passes
72% (207/288)76% (253/334)
Yellow cards
04
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.171.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.56
Total shots
208
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
146
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3323
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
52
Free kicks
186
Passes
72% (207/288)76% (253/334)
Long passes
29% (15/51)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
59% (68/115)68% (87/128)
Crosses
19% (4/21)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.650.89
Throw ins
1629
Fouls
618
Tackles
74% (14/19)33% (7/21)
Duels won
6651
Clearances
3223
Interceptions
815
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
310
xGOT faced
0.561.24
Goals prevented
-0.441.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Zalazar K. , Kone K. ,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. , Jamelli (A),
  • 45', Jamelli 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Maras N. , Mari A. ,
  • 46', Bodiger Y. , Bassinga A. ,
  • 63', Clua S. , El Jebari S. ,
  • 74', Caparros A. , Almenara G. ,
  • 74', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 75', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 84', Houary A. , Sia D. ,
  • 84', Jamelli , Cantero Y. ,
  • 84', Illescas M. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 86', Bassinga A. 🟨,
  • 87', Novoa Ramos H. , Varela I. ,
  • 88', Mari A. , Martin Luis A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirandés
40.4%
Draw
30.4%
Ceuta
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 28.8% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 29% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mirandés - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.54)
    3.1
    (3.27)
    3.22
    (2.77)
    6%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mirandés - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 45%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirandés will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mirandés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Nikic I. (Inactive) Perez P. (Knee Injury) Postigo S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Campana J. (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Youness (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Mirandés: Fernandez C. (Injury) Novoa Ramos H. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirandés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirandés - Ceuta were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Ceuta - Mirandés 2:0
    Latest results of Mirandés
    21.02.2026 Huesca - Mirandés 1:2
    15.02.2026 Mirandés - Las Palmas 1:1
    02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    25.02.2026 Ceuta - Córdoba 3:2
    20.02.2026 Ceuta - Granada 2:1
    15.02.2026 Huesca - Ceuta 2:0
    01.02.2026 Almería - Ceuta 4:2
    26.01.2026 Ceuta - Leonesa 3:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Castellon3818101065:481764
    5Malaga381891166:491763
    6Las Palmas371712849:311863
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

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