Real Murcia vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Real Murcia - Ceuta
Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
64
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
120
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
64
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
120
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Rodri ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Alcania R. , Davo ,
  • 57', Leon P. , Moha Moukhliss ,
  • 57', Palmberg , Rojas C. ,
  • 68', Escudero A. , Hernandez C. ,
  • 68', Benito P. A. P. , Toral A. ,
  • 76', Redruello Nimo C. , Guzman J. ,
  • 76', Kone K. , Bellotti M. ,
  • 77', Jamelli , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 77', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 79', Gazzaniga G. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Bosilj D. ,
  • 85', Rodri , Aquino D. ,
  • 87', Rojas C. , Matheus Cadorini ,
  • 90+1', Caparros A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Zalazar K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Murcia
40.3%
Draw
31.5%
Ceuta
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 29.4% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 28.2% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Murcia's form might have worsened.
  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Real Murcia - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.02)
    2.91
    (3.13)
    3.25
    (3.67)
    9%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Ceuta were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Ceuta - Real Murcia 4:2
    28.04.2024 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:0
    05.11.2023 Ceuta - Real Murcia 1:0
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    Latest results of Ceuta
    06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0
    28.03.2025 Intercity - Ceuta 1:2
    22.03.2025 Ceuta - Hércules 1:1
    09.03.2025 Ceuta - Antequera 2:2
    02.03.2025 Villarreal B - Ceuta 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3