Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | FEF TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Rodri ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alcania R. ↓, Davo ↑,
- 57', Leon P. ↓, Moha Moukhliss ↑,
- 57', Palmberg ↓, Rojas C. ↑,
- 68', Escudero A. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
- 68', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Toral A. ↑,
- 76', Redruello Nimo C. ↓, Guzman J. ↑,
- 76', Kone K. ↓, Bellotti M. ↑,
- 77', Jamelli ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 77', Ahmed A. 🟨,
- 79', Gazzaniga G. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Bosilj D. ⚽,
- 85', Rodri ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 87', Rojas C. ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
- 90+1', Caparros A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zalazar K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Murcia
40.3% | Draw
31.5% | Ceuta
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Murcia's form might have worsened.Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Real Murcia - Ceuta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.02) |
2.91 ↓
(3.13) |
3.25 ↓
(3.67) |
9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has Real Murcia won against Ceuta?
Real Murcia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Real Murcia?
Ceuta has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Ceuta were as follows:
03.11.2024
Ceuta
-
Real Murcia
4:2
28.04.2024
Real Murcia
-
Ceuta
1:0
05.11.2023
Ceuta
-
Real Murcia
1:0
Latest results of Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabadell | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 40:15 | 25 | 54 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 51 |
| 3 | Eldense | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 41:28 | 13 | 50 |
| 4 | CE Europa | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:34 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Villarreal B | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Teruel | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Antequera | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:32 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Alcorcon | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Hercules | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | FC Cartagena SAD | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Torremolinos | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 39 |
| 13 | UD Ibiza | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 14 | Murcia | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 26:29 | -3 | 36 |
| 15 | Tarazona | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 34 |
| 16 | Gimnastic | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 34 |
| 17 | Marbella | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 24:35 | -11 | 28 |
| 18 | Betis B | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:48 | -16 | 28 |
| 19 | Sanluqueno | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 27 |
| 20 | Sevilla FC B | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 15:32 | -17 | 22 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
