Result
2:2
09/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Villanueva R. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (310/352) | 71% (99/140) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (310/352) | 71% (99/140) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 28% (5/18) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (108/136) | 52% (16/31) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.87 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Owusu P. 🟨,
- 45', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Duke B. ↓, Synchuk G. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ⚽,
- 60', 🟨,
- 62', Choiniere D. ↓, Borges T. ↑,
- 62', Ampomah N. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
- 63', Piette S. ↓, Campbell G. ↑,
- 65', Borges T. 🟨,
- 74', Bugaj D. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
- 74', Clark C. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 77', 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Borges T. ⚽, Massunda H. (A),
- 80', 1 - 2, Bekker K. ⚽,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', Bekker K. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 86', Petrasso L. ↓, Graham-Roache O. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 88', Babouli M. ↓, Kane K. ↑,
- 88', Wright B. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Owusu P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
CF Montréal
48.7% | Draw
26.9% | Forge
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
CF Montréal - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.85) |
3.37 ↑
(3.28) |
3.71 ↓
(3.83) |
10.4%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Forge?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): CF Montréal will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
- Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Forge is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
- Montreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Forge?
CF Montréal has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against CF Montréal?
Forge has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Forge were as follows:
20.05.2025
Forge
-
CF Montréal
1:0
22.05.2024
CF Montréal
-
Forge
0:2
07.05.2024
Forge
-
CF Montréal
1:1
24.05.2023
CF Montréal
-
Forge
2:0
Latest results of CF Montréal
Draw
20251/8-finals| 1 | Toronto FC | CF Montreal | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Forge | HFX Wanderers | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 4 | Valour | TSS Rovers | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Cavalry | Edmonton Scottish | 6 : 0 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | Vancouver FC | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | York Utd | FC Laval | 5 : 0 |
| 8 | Atl. Ottawa | Scrosoppi | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | CF Montreal | Forge | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Valour | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Cavalry | Vancouver FC | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | York Utd | Atl. Ottawa | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Forge | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
| 2 | Vancouver FC | Atl. Ottawa | |
Final
