Result
1:3
10/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 52', 1 - 1, Nazareno L. ⚽,
- 69', 1 - 2, Castillo J. ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Carabali A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cumbayá
67.3% | Draw
21.2% | Chacaritas
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cumbayá's performance.Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cumbayá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chacaritas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cumbayá - Chacaritas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.49) |
4.34 ↑
(4) |
8.03 ↑
(5.9) |
8.7%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
- Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 2.
- In recent matches, Cumbayá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chacaritas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Cumbayá is the clear favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Chacaritas?
Cumbayá has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chacaritas won against Cumbayá?
Chacaritas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cumbayá - Chacaritas were as follows:
29.05.2025
Chacaritas
-
Cumbayá
1:1
Latest results of Cumbayá
Latest results of Chacaritas
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leones del Norte ✔ | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Guayaquil City ✔ | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 31:16 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Gualaceo ✔ | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:27 | 1 | 35 |
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre ✔ | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:15 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Ind. Juniors ✔ | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 33 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 20:19 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Atletico Vinotinto | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 31 |
| 8 | 22 de Julio ✔ | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:31 | -11 | 28 |
| 9 | Vargas Torres ✔ | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Cumbaya ✔ | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Imbabura ✔ | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23:30 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Chacaritas ✔ | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Leones del Norte is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Guayaquil City is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Gualaceo is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Nueve de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
Ind. Juniors is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )
22 de Julio is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Cumbaya is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )
