Result
4:1
02/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Valencia K. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Valencia K. ⚽,
- 36', 3 - 0, Valencia K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 4 - 1, Corozo R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chacaritas
54.4% | Draw
24% | Cumbayá
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chacaritas's performance.Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cumbayá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-30.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chacaritas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+26.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cumbayá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chacaritas - Cumbayá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.66) |
6.92 ↑
(3.1) |
7.7 ↑
(2.02) |
-39.8%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 2.
- Chacaritas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cumbayá is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Cumbayá is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chacaritas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chacaritas won against Cumbayá?
Chacaritas has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Chacaritas?
Cumbayá has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chacaritas - Cumbayá were as follows:
10.08.2025
Cumbayá
-
Chacaritas
1:3
29.05.2025
Chacaritas
-
Cumbayá
1:1
Latest results of Chacaritas
Latest results of Cumbayá
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guayaquil City | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 34:19 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Leones del Norte | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Gualaceo | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 41 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 29:24 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Nueve de Octubre | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )
