Result
Postponed
30/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 6
Chances of winning
Cumbayá
50.1% | Draw
26.7% | Chacaritas
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumbayá's form might have worsened.Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Cumbayá - Chacaritas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.65) |
3.46 ↓
(4.14) |
3.99 ↓
(4.29) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Cumbayá is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Chacaritas?
Cumbayá has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chacaritas won against Cumbayá?
Chacaritas has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cumbayá - Chacaritas were as follows:
02.09.2025
Chacaritas
-
Cumbayá
4:1
10.08.2025
Cumbayá
-
Chacaritas
1:3
29.05.2025
Chacaritas
-
Cumbayá
1:1
Latest results of Cumbayá
Latest results of Chacaritas
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 49 |
| 2 | Leones del Norte | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 46 |
| 3 | Gualaceo | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 5 | Nueve de Octubre | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )
