Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (205/324) | 73% (277/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (205/324) | 73% (277/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (23/64) | 33% (18/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (29/73) | 63% (71/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Chen Siliang 🟨,
- 16', Shuai Weihao ↓, Luo Yuxi ↑,
- 32', 1 - 0, Murat Bebet (Pen),
- 45+3', Qin Wanzhun 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Cao Pinpai ↓, Li Ke ↑,
- 59', Yu Yanfeng ↓, Liu Guangwu ↑,
- 59', Cao Jinlong ↓, Bi Qilin ↑,
- 62', He Youzu ↓, Li Xin ↑,
- 62', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Erkin Ababekri ↑,
- 66', Memet Nuryasin 🟨,
- 67', Murat Bebet 🟨,
- 69', Kadir Aysan 🟨,
- 70', Wang Junqiang ↓, Li Zhijun ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Li Ke ⚽,
- 72', Wang Zihao 🟨,
- 72', Dai W. 🟨,
- 73', Bi Qilin 🟨,
- 74', Ma Bokang ↓, Wang Junhao ↑,
- 74', Zhao Ran ↓, Wang Shengbo ↑,
- 88', Sun Fei ↓, Xu Zhaoji ↑,
Chances of winning
Changchun Xidu
30.7% | Draw
31.5% | Chengdu Rongcheng B
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.Chengdu Rongcheng B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chengdu Rongcheng B's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chengdu Rongcheng B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Changchun Xidu - Chengdu Rongcheng B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.36) |
2.92 ↓
(3.12) |
2.43 ↓
(2.8) |
8.8%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Changchun Xidu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Chengdu Rongcheng B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Xidu won against Chengdu Rongcheng B?
Changchun Xidu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chengdu Rongcheng B won against Changchun Xidu?
Chengdu Rongcheng B has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Xidu - Chengdu Rongcheng B were as follows:
Latest results of Changchun Xidu
Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng B
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 56:14 | 42 | 66 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 36:14 | 22 | 55 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 49 |
| 4 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
