Changchun Yatai vs Guangdong GZ-Power – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/04/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 6

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.311.24
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
68
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
66
Passes
70% (239/342)73% (268/366)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.311.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.181.68
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
611
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1616
Passes
70% (239/342)73% (268/366)
Long passes
42% (27/65)40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
61% (82/135)65% (68/105)
Crosses
10% (2/20)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.49
Throw ins
3115
Fouls
1616
Tackles
77% (10/13)100% (7/7)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
65
xGOT faced
1.682.18
Goals prevented
-0.321.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Liao Junjian ,
  • 9', Tudi Dilyimit , Wu Zhicheng ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Omoijuanfo O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yang Hao , Gao Huaze ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Tudorie A. , Wang H. (A),
  • 69', Fan Chao , Muhamet ,
  • 69', Jiang Zilei , Lu K. ,
  • 76', Wu Zhicheng , Benhaddouche C. ,
  • 79', Wang H. , Wang J. ,
  • 79', Duan Yunzi , Liu Bin ,
  • 84', Tudorie A. , Wang Jingbin ,
  • 89', Wang Jingbin 🟨,
  • 90+2', Liu Bin 🟨,
  • 90+5', Tan Long 🟨,
  • 90+8', Camara O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Changchun Yatai
28.8%
Draw
28.8%
Guangdong GZ-Power
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 29% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 30.6% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.
  • Guangdong GZ-Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong GZ-Power's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong GZ-Power, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Changchun Yatai - Guangdong GZ-Power Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.45)
    3.22
    (3.15)
    2.19
    (2.7)
    7.9%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
    • Recent performances by Changchun Yatai have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Guangdong GZ-Power is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Guangdong GZ-Power may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Changchun Yatai
    Latest results of Guangdong GZ-Power
    Chinese Jia League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangdong GZ-Power650111:4715
    2Nantong Zhiyun64206:2414
    3Dingnan Ganlian63308:5312
    4Shenzhen Juniors64028:8012
    5Wuxi Wugou631211:6510
    6Yanbian Longding62315:239
    7Guangxi Hengchen63036:609
    8Dalian K'un City52127:707
    9Foshan Nanshi62047:9-26
    10Changchun Yatai63038:715
    11Shaanxi Union51222:3-15
    12Nanjing City61234:7-35
    13Shijiazhuang Gongfu61143:6-34
    14Suzhou Dongwu62044:6-23
    15Meizhou Hakka62044:12-83
    16Ningbo Professional61146:10-41

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Relegation ~ League Two