Henan Songshan Longmen vs Changchun Yatai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai
Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 27
  • Referee: Wei L. (Chn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.81
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
87% (506/582)76% (239/315)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.83
Total shots
187
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3715
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
87% (506/582)76% (239/315)
Long passes
64% (35/55)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
73% (124/170)62% (49/79)
Crosses
40% (8/20)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.63
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
1412
Tackles
40% (6/15)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4751
Clearances
2140
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.831.56
Goals prevented
0.83-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Bruno Nazario , Iago Maidana (A),
  • 61', Peng Xinli , Salazar J. ,
  • 61', Piao Taoyu , Wang Yu ,
  • 67', Li Shenyuan , Asqer A. ,
  • 68', Sunzu S. , He Yiran ,
  • 69', Wang Yu 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Lucas Maia , Acheampong F. (A),
  • 74', Liu Xinyu , He Chao ,
  • 75', Zhong Yihao , Yang Yilin ,
  • 75', Rosic L. , Zhang Huachen ,
  • 87', Acheampong F. , Huang Zichang ,
  • 90+6', Bruno Nazario , Abudulam A. ,
  • 90+6', Lu Yongtao , He X. ,

Chances of winning


Henan Songshan Longmen
69.6%
Draw
17%
Changchun Yatai
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 21.9% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 21.5% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henan Songshan Longmen's performance.
  • Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.58)
    5.49
    (4.29)
    6.98
    (5.07)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Henan Jianye: 55.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.
    • Henan Jianye is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Changchun Yatai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Henan Jianye is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Henan Jianye: Felippe Cardoso (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Wang Zhifeng (Red Card) Wu Yake (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen 0:1
    27.10.2024 Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai 0:0
    26.05.2024 Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen 0:0
    29.10.2023 Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai 1:1
    03.07.2023 Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen 3:1
    Latest results of Changchun Yatai
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port27186367:412660
    2Chengdu Rongcheng27177356:233358
    3Shanghai Shenhua27176461:322957
    4Beijing Guoan27156658:411751
    5Shandong Taishan27128759:431644
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger27127836:34243
    7Zhejiang Professional271010756:441240
    8Qingdao West Coast2799936:40-436
    9Yunnan Yukun27981041:50-935
    10Dalian Yingbo27971126:40-1434
    11Henan Songshan Longmen27951347:44332
    12Wuhan Three Towns27671432:54-2225
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng27721832:56-2423
    14Meizhou Hakka27551732:60-2820
    15Qingdao Hainiu27391528:44-1618
    16Changchun Yatai27461724:45-2118

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League