Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 27
- Referee: Wei L. (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
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| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 87% (506/582) | 76% (239/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.74 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.56 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
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| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 37 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
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| 87% (506/582) | 76% (239/315) |
| Long passes |
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| 64% (35/55) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 73% (124/170) | 62% (49/79) |
| Crosses |
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| 40% (8/20) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.72 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
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| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 40% (6/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
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| 21 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.83 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.83 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Bruno Nazario ⚽, Iago Maidana (A),
- 61', Peng Xinli ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 61', Piao Taoyu ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
- 67', Li Shenyuan ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
- 68', Sunzu S. ↓, He Yiran ↑,
- 69', Wang Yu 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 0, Lucas Maia ⚽, Acheampong F. (A),
- 74', Liu Xinyu ↓, He Chao ↑,
- 75', Zhong Yihao ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
- 75', Rosic L. ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
- 87', Acheampong F. ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
- 90+6', Bruno Nazario ↓, Abudulam A. ↑,
- 90+6', Lu Yongtao ↓, He X. ↑,
Chances of winning
Henan Songshan Longmen 69.6% | Draw 17% | Changchun Yatai 13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henan Songshan Longmen's performance.Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.58) |
5.49 ↑ (4.29) |
6.98 ↑ (5.07) |
6.5% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Henan Jianye: 55.2% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Changchun Yatai (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Henan Jianye (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Henan Jianye (votes: 1 - 50%). Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.
- Henan Jianye is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Changchun Yatai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Henan Jianye is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Henan Jianye: Felippe Cardoso
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Wang Zhifeng
(Red Card)
Wu Yake
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Henan Songshan Longmen won against Changchun Yatai?
Henan Songshan Longmen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Henan Songshan Longmen?
Changchun Yatai has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
11.05.2025
Changchun Yatai
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
0:1
27.10.2024
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Changchun Yatai
0:0
26.05.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
0:0
29.10.2023
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Changchun Yatai
1:1
03.07.2023
Changchun Yatai
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
3:1
Latest results of Henan Songshan Longmen
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Liaoning Tieren | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 0 |
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | -6 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | -7 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | -9 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One