Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 27
- Referee: Wei L. (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.74 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
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64% | 36% |
Total shots |
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18 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 2 |
Passes |
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87% (506/582) | 76% (239/315) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.74 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.56 | 0.83 |
Total shots |
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18 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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14 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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37 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 14 |
Passes |
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87% (506/582) | 76% (239/315) |
Long passes |
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64% (35/55) | 42% (25/60) |
Passes in final third |
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73% (124/170) | 62% (49/79) |
Crosses |
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40% (8/20) | 30% (6/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.72 | 0.63 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 14 |
Fouls |
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14 | 12 |
Tackles |
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40% (6/15) | 80% (12/15) |
Duels won |
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47 | 51 |
Clearances |
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21 | 40 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.83 | 1.56 |
Goals prevented |
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0.83 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Bruno Nazario ⚽, Iago Maidana (A),
- 61', Peng Xinli ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 61', Piao Taoyu ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
- 67', Li Shenyuan ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
- 68', Sunzu S. ↓, He Yiran ↑,
- 69', Wang Yu 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 0, Lucas Maia ⚽, Acheampong F. (A),
- 74', Liu Xinyu ↓, He Chao ↑,
- 75', Zhong Yihao ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
- 75', Rosic L. ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
- 87', Acheampong F. ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
- 90+6', Bruno Nazario ↓, Abudulam A. ↑,
- 90+6', Lu Yongtao ↓, He X. ↑,
Chances of winning
Henan Songshan Longmen 69.6% | Draw 17% | Changchun Yatai 13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henan Songshan Longmen's performance.Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.58) |
5.49 ↑ (4.29) |
6.98 ↑ (5.07) |
6.5% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Henan Jianye: 55.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.
- Henan Jianye is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Changchun Yatai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Henan Jianye is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Henan Jianye: Felippe Cardoso
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Wang Zhifeng
(Red Card)
Wu Yake
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Henan Songshan Longmen won against Changchun Yatai?
Henan Songshan Longmen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Henan Songshan Longmen?
Changchun Yatai has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
11.05.2025
Changchun Yatai
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
0:1
27.10.2024
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Changchun Yatai
0:0
26.05.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
0:0
29.10.2023
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Changchun Yatai
1:1
03.07.2023
Changchun Yatai
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
3:1
Latest results of Henan Songshan Longmen
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 67:41 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 56:23 | 33 | 58 |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 61:32 | 29 | 57 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 58:41 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Shandong Taishan | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 59:43 | 16 | 44 |
6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
7 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 56:44 | 12 | 40 |
8 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
9 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:50 | -9 | 35 |
10 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 34 |
11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 47:44 | 3 | 32 |
12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32:54 | -22 | 25 |
13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 32:56 | -24 | 23 |
14 | Meizhou Hakka | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 32:60 | -28 | 20 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 18 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League