Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Wang D. (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (247/348) | 72% (287/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (247/348) | 72% (287/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/73) | 36% (29/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (63/107) | 51% (61/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 10% (3/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.21 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Salazar J. ⚽,
- 38', Omoijuanfo O. 🟨,
- 42', Xu Haofeng 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Liu Yun ↑,
- 50', Ngom Mbekeli J. (Pen),
- 54', Ngom Mbekeli J. 🟨,
- 62', Zhang Huachen ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
- 62', Rao Weihui ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
- 69', Cyprien W. ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
- 79', Zhong Haoran ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
- 84', Wu Yake ↓, Wang Zhifeng ↑,
- 84', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
- 84', Li Shenyuan ↓, He Yiran ↑,
- 90+12', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
- 90+16', Wang Zhifeng 🟨,
- 90+17', Zhao Yingjie 🟨,
Chances of winning
Changchun Yatai
45.4% | Draw
27.1% | Meizhou Hakka
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.21) |
3.46 ↓
(3.52) |
3.35 ↑
(3.11) |
6.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1.
- Changchun Yatai has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Meizhou Hakka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Yue Tze-Nam
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Meizhou Hakka: Ngom Mbekeli J.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Meizhou Hakka?
Changchun Yatai has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Meizhou Hakka won against Changchun Yatai?
Meizhou Hakka has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka were as follows:
11.04.2025
Meizhou Hakka
-
Changchun Yatai
1:3
17.08.2024
Meizhou Hakka
-
Changchun Yatai
2:1
26.04.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Meizhou Hakka
0:1
08.08.2023
Meizhou Hakka
-
Changchun Yatai
4:2
10.05.2023
Changchun Yatai
-
Meizhou Hakka
2:4
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Latest results of Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 48:18 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 49:26 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 53:32 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 51:32 | 19 | 48 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 34 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:34 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:42 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38:41 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 20 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 28:49 | -21 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19:37 | -18 | 16 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
