Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Wang D. (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.67 | 2.46 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
71% (247/348) | 72% (287/400) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.67 | 2.46 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.63 | 2.21 |
Total shots |
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12 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
71% (247/348) | 72% (287/400) |
Long passes |
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40% (29/73) | 36% (29/81) |
Passes in final third |
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59% (63/107) | 51% (61/119) |
Crosses |
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7% (1/14) | 10% (3/29) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.20 | 0.95 |
Throw-ins |
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26 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (14/20) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 65 |
Clearances |
---|
55 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.21 | 0.63 |
Goals prevented |
---|
2.21 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Salazar J. ⚽,
- 38', Omoijuanfo O. 🟨,
- 42', Xu Haofeng 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Liu Yun ↑,
- 50', Ngom Mbekeli J. (Pen),
- 54', Ngom Mbekeli J. 🟨,
- 62', Zhang Huachen ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
- 62', Rao Weihui ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
- 69', Cyprien W. ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
- 79', Zhong Haoran ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
- 84', Wu Yake ↓, Wang Zhifeng ↑,
- 84', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
- 84', Li Shenyuan ↓, He Yiran ↑,
- 90+12', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
- 90+16', Wang Zhifeng 🟨,
- 90+17', Zhao Yingjie 🟨,
Chances of winning
Changchun Yatai 45.4% | Draw 27.1% | Meizhou Hakka 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↓ (2.21) |
3.46 ↓ (3.52) |
3.35 ↑ (3.11) |
6.7% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1.
- Changchun Yatai has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Meizhou Hakka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Yue Tze-Nam
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Meizhou Hakka: Ngom Mbekeli J.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Meizhou Hakka?
Changchun Yatai has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Meizhou Hakka won against Changchun Yatai?
Meizhou Hakka has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka were as follows:
11.04.2025
Meizhou Hakka
-
Changchun Yatai
1:3
17.08.2024
Meizhou Hakka
-
Changchun Yatai
2:1
26.04.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Meizhou Hakka
0:1
08.08.2023
Meizhou Hakka
-
Changchun Yatai
4:2
10.05.2023
Changchun Yatai
-
Meizhou Hakka
2:4
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Latest results of Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 63:38 | 25 | 57 |
2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 53:22 | 31 | 55 |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 59:31 | 28 | 54 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 57:39 | 18 | 51 |
5 | Shandong Taishan | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 56:40 | 16 | 42 |
6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35:32 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Zhejiang Professional | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Dalian Yingbo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 33 |
9 | Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 38:49 | -11 | 31 |
10 | Qingdao West Coast | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 31:37 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32:54 | -22 | 24 |
13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 29:53 | -24 | 20 |
14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23:37 | -14 | 17 |
15 | Changchun Yatai | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
16 | Meizhou Hakka | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 30:57 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League