Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Hakka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Development Area Stadium (Changchun).

Super League - Round 21
Referee: Wang D. (Chn)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	2.46
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	9
Passes
71% (247/348)	72% (287/400)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	2.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.63	2.21
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	9
Touches in opposition box
17	29
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
12	17
Passes
71% (247/348)	72% (287/400)
Long passes
40% (29/73)	36% (29/81)
Passes in final third
59% (63/107)	51% (61/119)
Crosses
7% (1/14)	10% (3/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.20	0.95
Throw-ins
26	29
Fouls
18	12
Tackles
70% (14/20)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
56	65
Clearances
55	17
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.21	0.63
Goals prevented
2.21	-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Salazar J. ⚽,
38', Omoijuanfo O. 🟨,
42', Xu Haofeng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Liu Yun ↑,
50', Ngom Mbekeli J. (Pen),
54', Ngom Mbekeli J. 🟨,
62', Zhang Huachen ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
62', Rao Weihui ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
69', Cyprien W. ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
79', Zhong Haoran ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
84', Wu Yake ↓, Wang Zhifeng ↑,
84', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
84', Li Shenyuan ↓, He Yiran ↑,
90+12', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
90+16', Wang Zhifeng 🟨,
90+17', Zhao Yingjie 🟨,

Chances of winning

Changchun Yatai
45.4%

Draw
27.1%

Meizhou Hakka
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.9%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.21)	3.46 ↓ (3.52)	3.35 ↑ (3.11)	6.7% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1.
Changchun Yatai has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Meizhou Hakka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Yue Tze-Nam (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Meizhou Hakka: Ngom Mbekeli J. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Meizhou Hakka?

Changchun Yatai has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Meizhou Hakka won against Changchun Yatai?

Meizhou Hakka has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka were as follows:

11.04.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai 1:3

17.08.2024 Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai 2:1

26.04.2024 Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka 0:1

08.08.2023 Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai 4:2

10.05.2023 Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka 2:4

Latest results of Changchun Yatai

09.08.2025 Shandong Taishan - Changchun Yatai 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 0:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Changchun Yatai - Dalian Young Boy 0:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Port 1:3 ✺

29.06.2025 Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Meizhou Hakka

10.08.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Port 2:4 ✺

27.07.2025 Shandong Taishan - Meizhou Hakka 3:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Meizhou Hakka 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:2 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port	27	18	6	3	67:41	26	60
2	Chengdu Rongcheng	27	17	7	3	56:23	33	58
3	Shanghai Shenhua	27	17	6	4	61:32	29	57
4	Beijing Guoan	27	15	6	6	58:41	17	51
5	Shandong Taishan	27	12	8	7	59:43	16	44
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	27	12	7	8	36:34	2	43
7	Zhejiang Professional	27	10	10	7	56:44	12	40
8	Qingdao West Coast	27	9	9	9	36:40	-4	36
9	Yunnan Yukun	27	9	8	10	41:50	-9	35
10	Dalian Yingbo	27	9	7	11	26:40	-14	34
11	Henan Songshan Longmen	27	9	5	13	47:44	3	32
12	Wuhan Three Towns	27	6	7	14	32:54	-22	25
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	27	7	2	18	32:56	-24	23
14	Meizhou Hakka	27	5	5	17	32:60	-28	20
15	Qingdao Hainiu	27	3	9	15	28:44	-16	18
16	Changchun Yatai	27	4	6	17	24:45	-21	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Jia League