Qingdao Hainiu vs Changchun Yatai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/05/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Qingdao Youth Football Stadium (Qingdao).

Super League - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.10	0.98
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	8
Passes
83% (421/507)	72% (255/353)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.10	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
3.25	0.60
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
24	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
12	9
Passes
83% (421/507)	72% (255/353)
Long passes
37% (20/54)	30% (20/66)
Passes in final third
75% (114/151)	54% (54/100)
Crosses
14% (3/22)	8% (2/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.04	0.41
Throw-ins
22	22
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
77% (10/13)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
66	48
Clearances
51	30
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.60	3.25
Goals prevented
0.60	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Xu Haofeng 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Wang Yu ↓, Wang Yaopeng ↑,
46', Jia Feifan ↓, Jin Yonghao ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Wellington Silva ⚽,
58', Yao Xuchen ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Wellington Silva ⚽, Feng Boyuan (A),
70', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Feng Boyuan ⚽,
85', Wellington Silva ↓, Huang Yinghao ↑,
86', Abdugheni Abduhamit ↓, He Yiran ↑,
90+1', Saric E. ↓, Lin Chuangyi ↑,

Chances of winning

Qingdao Hainiu
47.3%

Draw
26.5%

Changchun Yatai
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.5%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao Hainiu's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao Hainiu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.5)	3.53 ↑ (3.41)	3.54 ↑ (2.69)	6.1% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Qingdao Hainiu will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Inactive) Li Shenyuan (Inactive)
There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Ormeno S. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Hainiu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Changchun Yatai?

Qingdao Hainiu has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Qingdao Hainiu?

Changchun Yatai has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai were as follows:

30.06.2024 Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu 5:0

08.03.2024 Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai 0:1

26.08.2023 Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai 1:0

25.07.2023 Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai 1:0

23.05.2023 Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu 1:0

Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu

01.05.2025 Shandong Taishan - Qingdao Hainiu 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Qingdao Hainiu - Meizhou Hakka 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao Hainiu 3:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Changchun Yatai

01.05.2025 Zhejiang Professional - Changchun Yatai 4:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Changchun Yatai - Chengdu Rongcheng 1:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Changchun Yatai - Yunnan Yukun 0:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai 3:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai 1:3 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	23	15	5	3	48:18	30	50
2	Shanghai Shenhua	23	15	4	4	49:26	23	49
3	Shanghai Port	23	14	6	3	53:32	21	48
4	Beijing Guoan	23	14	6	3	51:32	19	48
5	Shandong Taishan	23	12	4	7	51:35	16	40
6	Zhejiang Professional	23	9	7	7	46:36	10	34
7	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	23	9	7	7	30:32	-2	34
8	Yunnan Yukun	23	8	6	9	35:44	-9	30
9	Dalian Yingbo	22	8	5	9	21:32	-11	29
10	Qingdao West Coast	22	6	9	7	29:34	-5	27
11	Wuhan Three Towns	23	6	6	11	28:42	-14	24
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	23	6	5	12	38:41	-3	23
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	23	6	2	15	28:50	-22	20
14	Meizhou Hakka	23	4	5	14	28:49	-21	17
15	Qingdao Hainiu	23	3	7	13	21:35	-14	16
16	Changchun Yatai	23	4	4	15	19:37	-18	16

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      Relegation ~ Jia League