Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
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China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.93 | 0.90 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
78% (304/390) | 82% (333/408) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.93 | 0.90 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.04 | 1.43 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
78% (304/390) | 82% (333/408) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (30/67) | 41% (24/59) |
Passes in final third |
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58% (76/130) | 68% (65/96) |
Crosses |
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27% (7/26) | 43% (3/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.11 | 0.35 |
Throw-ins |
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29 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 19 |
Tackles |
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73% (11/15) | 80% (12/15) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 47 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.43 | 2.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.57 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Wang Zhifeng 🟥,
- 11', Peng Xinli 🟨,
- 14', Zhao Yingjie ↓, An Z. ↑,
- 15', 0 - 1, Lin Chuangyi ⚽,
- 45+7', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Liu Junshuai ↓, Liu Jiashen ↑,
- 46', Peng Xinli ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
- 46', Piao Taoyu ↓, Cyprien W. ↑,
- 48', Asqer A. 🟨,
- 50', Jin Yonghao 🟨,
- 51', Jin Yonghao ↓, Li Hailong ↑,
- 54', Wellington Silva 🟨,
- 58', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Xiao Kun ↑,
- 58', Wei Suowei ↓, Song Long ↑,
- 67', Xiao Kun 🟨,
- 72', 0 - 2, Xiao Kun ⚽, Wellington Silva (A),
- 74', Peng Xinli ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
- 81', Liu Jiashen 🟨,
- 85', He Yiran ↓, Liu Guobao ↑,
- 87', Mijit Mewlan ↓, Zhang Chi ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Tan Long ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Asqer A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Changchun Yatai 16.8% | Draw 26.8% | Qingdao Hainiu 56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao Hainiu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+18.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-19.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.41 ↑ (2.67) |
4.33 ↑ (3.44) |
1.94 ↓ (2.6) |
-11.7% (5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Changchun Yatai will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Qingdao Hainiu has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Wu Yake
(Injury)
Xuan Z.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Feng Boyuan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Song Wenjie
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Qingdao Hainiu?
Changchun Yatai has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Changchun Yatai?
Qingdao Hainiu has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu were as follows:
05.05.2025
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
3:0
30.06.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Qingdao Hainiu
5:0
08.03.2024
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
0:1
26.08.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
1:0
25.07.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
1:0
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 67:41 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 56:23 | 33 | 58 |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 61:32 | 29 | 57 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 58:41 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Shandong Taishan | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 59:43 | 16 | 44 |
6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
7 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 56:44 | 12 | 40 |
8 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
9 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:50 | -9 | 35 |
10 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 34 |
11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 47:44 | 3 | 32 |
12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32:54 | -22 | 25 |
13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 32:56 | -24 | 23 |
14 | Meizhou Hakka | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 32:60 | -28 | 20 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 18 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League