Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (304/390) | 82% (333/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (304/390) | 82% (333/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (76/130) | 68% (65/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Wang Zhifeng 🟥,
- 11', Peng Xinli 🟨,
- 14', Zhao Yingjie ↓, An Z. ↑,
- 15', 0 - 1, Lin Chuangyi ⚽,
- 45+7', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Liu Junshuai ↓, Liu Jiashen ↑,
- 46', Peng Xinli ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
- 46', Piao Taoyu ↓, Cyprien W. ↑,
- 48', Asqer A. 🟨,
- 50', Jin Yonghao 🟨,
- 51', Jin Yonghao ↓, Li Hailong ↑,
- 54', Wellington Silva 🟨,
- 58', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Xiao Kun ↑,
- 58', Wei Suowei ↓, Song Long ↑,
- 67', Xiao Kun 🟨,
- 72', 0 - 2, Xiao Kun ⚽, Wellington Silva (A),
- 74', Peng Xinli ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
- 81', Liu Jiashen 🟨,
- 85', He Yiran ↓, Liu Guobao ↑,
- 87', Mijit Mewlan ↓, Zhang Chi ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Tan Long ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Asqer A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Changchun Yatai
16.8% | Draw
26.8% | Qingdao Hainiu
56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao Hainiu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+18.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-19.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.41 ↑
(2.67) |
4.33 ↑
(3.44) |
1.94 ↓
(2.6) |
-11.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Changchun Yatai will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Changchun Yatai will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Qingdao Hainiu has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Wu Yake
(Injury)
Xuan Z.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Feng Boyuan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Song Wenjie
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Qingdao Hainiu?
Changchun Yatai has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Changchun Yatai?
Qingdao Hainiu has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu were as follows:
05.05.2025
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
3:0
30.06.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Qingdao Hainiu
5:0
08.03.2024
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
0:1
26.08.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
1:0
25.07.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
1:0
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Liaoning Tieren | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 0 |
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | -6 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | -7 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | -9 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One
