Result
3:0
05/05/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (421/507) | 72% (255/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (421/507) | 72% (255/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 30% (20/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (114/151) | 54% (54/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 8% (2/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 3.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Xu Haofeng 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Wang Yu ↓, Wang Yaopeng ↑,
- 46', Jia Feifan ↓, Jin Yonghao ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Wellington Silva ⚽,
- 58', Yao Xuchen ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Wellington Silva ⚽, Feng Boyuan (A),
- 70', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
- 78', 3 - 0, Feng Boyuan ⚽,
- 85', Wellington Silva ↓, Huang Yinghao ↑,
- 86', Abdugheni Abduhamit ↓, He Yiran ↑,
- 90+1', Saric E. ↓, Lin Chuangyi ↑,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Hainiu
47.3% | Draw
26.5% | Changchun Yatai
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao Hainiu's performance.Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao Hainiu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.5) |
3.53 ↑
(3.41) |
3.54 ↑
(2.69) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Qingdao Hainiu will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W.
(Inactive)
Li Shenyuan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Ormeno S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Hainiu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Changchun Yatai?
Qingdao Hainiu has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Qingdao Hainiu?
Changchun Yatai has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
30.06.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Qingdao Hainiu
5:0
08.03.2024
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
0:1
26.08.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
1:0
25.07.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Changchun Yatai
1:0
23.05.2023
Changchun Yatai
-
Qingdao Hainiu
1:0
Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 39:17 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 38:18 | 20 | 38 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 37 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33:15 | 18 | 34 |
| 5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 23 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22:25 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 | Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 17 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 13 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 8 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15:32 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
