Shenzhen Peng City vs Changchun Yatai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai
Result
3:1
15/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.45
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
71% (169/238)87% (511/587)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.811.91
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1121
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
611
Passes
71% (169/238)87% (511/587)
Long passes
42% (24/57)63% (30/48)
Passes in final third
54% (41/76)72% (126/174)
Crosses
43% (10/23)19% (6/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.70
Fouls
116
Tackles
39% (7/18)100% (5/5)
Duels won
4837
Clearances Total
4230
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.911.81
Goals prevented
0.91-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Zhang Yudong , Orr M. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Tan Long , Xuan Z. (A),
  • 34', Sunzu S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Yao Xuchen , Zhao Yingjie ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Garcia E. ,
  • 60', Xu Yue , Tudi Dilyimit ,
  • 61', Jiang Zhipeng , Li Zhi ,
  • 61', He Yiran , Yan Zhiyu ,
  • 61', Zhang Huachen , Wang Yu ,
  • 64', Garcia E. , Sarkaria M. ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Sarkaria M. , Li Zhi (A),
  • 75', Orr M. , Tiago Leonco ,
  • 75', Kartsev E. , Ghojaehmet Shahzat ,
  • 82', Omoijuanfo O. , Zhou Junchen ,

Chances of winning


Shenzhen Peng City
52.5%
Draw
24.4%
Changchun Yatai
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 26.4% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 26% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.
  • Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.14)
    3.8
    (3.54)
    4
    (3.16)
    6.9%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 1.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Shenzhen Peng City will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui (Inactive)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen Peng City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
    21.07.2024 Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai 2:1
    01.05.2024 Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City 1:1
    Latest results of Changchun Yatai
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Shenhua17132239:172241
    2Beijing Guoan17115138:182038
    3Shanghai Port17114239:211837
    4Chengdu Rongcheng17104333:151834
    5Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1784525:25028
    6Shandong Taishan1774633:29425
    7Zhejiang Professional1765632:26623
    8Dalian Yingbo1765617:24-723
    9Qingdao West Coast1757522:25-322
    10Yunnan Yukun1764723:27-422
    11Wuhan Three Towns1755723:31-820
    12Shenzhen Xinpengcheng17521021:35-1417
    13Henan Songshan Longmen1744925:30-516
    14Meizhou Hakka17341022:36-1413
    15Qingdao Hainiu17151113:29-168
    16Changchun Yatai17221315:32-178

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League