Shenzhen Peng City vs Changchun Yatai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bao'an Stadium (Shenzhen).

Super League - Round 7
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.45
Ball Possession
30%	70%
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
71% (169/238)	87% (511/587)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.81	1.91
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
11	21
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
6	11
Passes
71% (169/238)	87% (511/587)
Long passes
42% (24/57)	63% (30/48)
Passes in final third
54% (41/76)	72% (126/174)
Crosses
43% (10/23)	19% (6/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.70
Fouls
11	6
Tackles
39% (7/18)	100% (5/5)
Duels won
48	37
Clearances Total
42	30
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.91	1.81
Goals prevented
0.91	-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Zhang Yudong ⚽, Orr M. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Tan Long ⚽, Xuan Z. (A),
34', Sunzu S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yao Xuchen ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽,
60', Xu Yue ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
61', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Li Zhi ↑,
61', He Yiran ↓, Yan Zhiyu ↑,
61', Zhang Huachen ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
64', Garcia E. ↓, Sarkaria M. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Sarkaria M. ⚽, Li Zhi (A),
75', Orr M. ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
75', Kartsev E. ↓, Ghojaehmet Shahzat ↑,
82', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Zhou Junchen ↑,

Chances of winning

Shenzhen Peng City
52.5%

Draw
24.4%

Changchun Yatai
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.14)	3.8 ↑ (3.54)	4 ↑ (3.16)	6.9% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 1.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Shenzhen Peng City will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui (Inactive)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen Peng City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Changchun Yatai?

Shenzhen Peng City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Shenzhen Peng City?

Changchun Yatai has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai were as follows:

21.07.2024 Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai 2:1

01.05.2024 Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City 1:1

Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City

11.04.2025 Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen Peng City 4:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Henan Songshan Longmen 1:3 ✺

01.04.2025 Zhejiang Professional - Shenzhen Peng City 3:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Yunnan Yukun 3:4 ✺

01.03.2025 Qingdao Hainiu - Shenzhen Peng City 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Changchun Yatai

11.04.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai 1:3 ✺

06.04.2025 Changchun Yatai - Shandong Taishan 1:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Changchun Yatai 2:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Shanghai Port - Changchun Yatai 2:0 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Shenhua	17	13	2	2	39:17	22	41
2	Beijing Guoan	17	11	5	1	38:18	20	38
3	Shanghai Port	17	11	4	2	39:21	18	37
4	Chengdu Rongcheng	17	10	4	3	33:15	18	34
5	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	17	8	4	5	25:25	0	28
6	Shandong Taishan	17	7	4	6	33:29	4	25
7	Zhejiang Professional	17	6	5	6	32:26	6	23
8	Dalian Yingbo	17	6	5	6	17:24	-7	23
9	Qingdao West Coast	17	5	7	5	22:25	-3	22
10	Yunnan Yukun	17	6	4	7	23:27	-4	22
11	Wuhan Three Towns	17	5	5	7	23:31	-8	20
12	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	17	5	2	10	21:35	-14	17
13	Henan Songshan Longmen	17	4	4	9	25:30	-5	16
14	Meizhou Hakka	17	3	4	10	22:36	-14	13
15	Qingdao Hainiu	17	1	5	11	13:29	-16	8
16	Changchun Yatai	17	2	2	13	15:32	-17	8

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      Relegation ~ Jia League