Result
3:1
15/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
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China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.90 | 1.45 |
Ball Possession |
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30% | 70% |
Total shots |
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10 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 7 |
Passes |
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71% (169/238) | 87% (511/587) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.90 | 1.45 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.81 | 1.91 |
Total shots |
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10 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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11 | 21 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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6 | 11 |
Passes |
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71% (169/238) | 87% (511/587) |
Long passes |
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42% (24/57) | 63% (30/48) |
Passes in final third |
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54% (41/76) | 72% (126/174) |
Crosses |
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43% (10/23) | 19% (6/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.56 | 0.70 |
Fouls |
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11 | 6 |
Tackles |
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39% (7/18) | 100% (5/5) |
Duels won |
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48 | 37 |
Clearances Total |
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42 | 30 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.91 | 1.81 |
Goals prevented |
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0.91 | -1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Zhang Yudong ⚽, Orr M. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Tan Long ⚽, Xuan Z. (A),
- 34', Sunzu S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Yao Xuchen ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽,
- 60', Xu Yue ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
- 61', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Li Zhi ↑,
- 61', He Yiran ↓, Yan Zhiyu ↑,
- 61', Zhang Huachen ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
- 64', Garcia E. ↓, Sarkaria M. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Sarkaria M. ⚽, Li Zhi (A),
- 75', Orr M. ↓, Tiago Leonco ↑,
- 75', Kartsev E. ↓, Ghojaehmet Shahzat ↑,
- 82', Omoijuanfo O. ↓, Zhou Junchen ↑,
Chances of winning
Shenzhen Peng City 52.5% | Draw 24.4% | Changchun Yatai 23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↓ (2.14) |
3.8 ↑ (3.54) |
4 ↑ (3.16) |
6.9% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 1.
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Shenzhen Peng City will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui
(Inactive)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Shenzhen Peng City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen Peng City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Changchun Yatai?
Shenzhen Peng City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Shenzhen Peng City?
Changchun Yatai has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
21.07.2024
Shenzhen Peng City
-
Changchun Yatai
2:1
01.05.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Shenzhen Peng City
1:1
Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 39:17 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 38:18 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33:15 | 18 | 34 |
5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Zhejiang Professional | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 23 |
8 | Dalian Yingbo | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
9 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22:25 | -3 | 22 |
10 | Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 17 |
13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 16 |
14 | Meizhou Hakka | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 13 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 8 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15:32 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League