Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 22
- Referee: Zhang Lei (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (168/259) | 79% (343/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (168/259) | 79% (343/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (17/67) | 50% (30/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (37/84) | 58% (80/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Zhang Wei 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Omoijuanfo O. ⚽, Salazar J. (A),
- 53', Li Shenyuan 🟨,
- 71', Liao Lisheng ↓, Zhang Xiaobin ↑,
- 78', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Orr M. ↑,
- 83', Kartsev E. 🟨,
- 87', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
- 90', Yu Rui ↓, Li Zhi ↑,
- 90+4', Xu Haofeng ↓, Sunzu S. ↑,
- 90+5', Omoijuanfo O. 🟨,
- 90+8', Abduweli Behram 🟨,
- 90+9', Piao Taoyu ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
- 90+9', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
- 90+16', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
- 90+17', Tan Long ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
Chances of winning
Changchun Yatai
34.9% | Draw
27.8% | Shenzhen Peng City
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Peng City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.23) |
3.37 ↑
(3.34) |
2.57 ↓
(3.11) |
6.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Garcia E.
(Red Card)
Zhang Yujie
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W.
(Injury)
Wu Yake
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Shenzhen Peng City?
Changchun Yatai has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Changchun Yatai?
Shenzhen Peng City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City were as follows:
15.04.2025
Shenzhen Peng City
-
Changchun Yatai
3:1
21.07.2024
Shenzhen Peng City
-
Changchun Yatai
2:1
01.05.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Shenzhen Peng City
1:1
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Liaoning Tieren | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 0 |
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | -6 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | -7 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | -9 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One
