Wuhan Three Towns vs Changchun Yatai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai
Result
0:0
03/08/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.71
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
92% (568/620)74% (187/252)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.41
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3320
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
185
Passes
92% (568/620)74% (187/252)
Long passes
83% (48/58)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
80% (113/142)59% (55/94)
Crosses
25% (8/32)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.49
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
518
Tackles
77% (10/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5436
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.411.11
Goals prevented
0.410.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Piao Taoyu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Zheng Haoqian , Wang Jinxian ,
  • 64', Asqer A. , Xuan Z. ,
  • 76', Palacios M. , Shen Zigui ,
  • 78', Li Shenyuan , Tian Yuda ,
  • 78', Piao Taoyu , Cyprien W. ,
  • 81', He Guan , Hang Ren ,
  • 81', Chen Zhechao , Wang Denny ,
  • 86', Abdugheni Abduhamit , Sun Qinhan ,
  • 86', Zhao Yingjie , Zhang Huachen ,
  • 87', Salazar J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cyprien W. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Xuan Z. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Rosic L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wuhan Three Towns
55.9%
Draw
23%
Changchun Yatai
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 23.1% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 20.5% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.72)
    4.04
    (4.07)
    4.43
    (4.18)
    6.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai?
  • Users Predictions: Wuhan Three Towns will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 2.
    • Recent performances by Wuhan Three Towns have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Changchun Yatai is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Changchun Yatai has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Wuhan Three Towns is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 1:1
    10.08.2024 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 2:0
    20.04.2024 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 0:0
    04.11.2023 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 3:4
    08.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 2:1
    Latest results of Changchun Yatai
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port26176363:382557
    2Chengdu Rongcheng26167353:223155
    3Shanghai Shenhua26166459:312854
    4Beijing Guoan26156557:391851
    5Shandong Taishan25126756:401642
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger25117735:32340
    7Zhejiang Professional26109754:421239
    8Dalian Yingbo25961026:38-1233
    9Yunnan Yukun25871038:49-1131
    10Qingdao West Coast2479831:37-630
    11Henan Songshan Longmen25851245:43229
    12Wuhan Three Towns26661432:54-2224
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng25621729:53-2420
    14Qingdao Hainiu24381323:37-1417
    15Changchun Yatai25451622:41-1917
    16Meizhou Hakka25451630:57-2717

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League