Wuhan Three Towns vs Changchun Yatai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai
Result
0:0
03/08/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.71
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
92% (568/620)74% (187/252)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.41
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3320
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
185
Passes
92% (568/620)74% (187/252)
Long passes
83% (48/58)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
80% (113/142)59% (55/94)
Crosses
25% (8/32)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.49
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
518
Tackles
77% (10/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5436
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.411.11
Goals prevented
0.410.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Piao Taoyu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Zheng Haoqian , Wang Jinxian ,
  • 64', Asqer A. , Xuan Z. ,
  • 76', Palacios M. , Shen Zigui ,
  • 78', Li Shenyuan , Tian Yuda ,
  • 78', Piao Taoyu , Cyprien W. ,
  • 81', He Guan , Hang Ren ,
  • 81', Chen Zhechao , Wang Denny ,
  • 86', Abdugheni Abduhamit , Sun Qinhan ,
  • 86', Zhao Yingjie , Zhang Huachen ,
  • 87', Salazar J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cyprien W. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Xuan Z. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Rosic L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wuhan Three Towns
55.9%
Draw
23%
Changchun Yatai
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 23.1% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 20.5% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.72)
    4.04
    (4.07)
    4.43
    (4.18)
    6.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai?
  • Users Predictions: Wuhan Three Towns will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 2.
    • Recent performances by Wuhan Three Towns have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Changchun Yatai is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Changchun Yatai has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Wuhan Three Towns is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 1:1
    10.08.2024 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 2:0
    20.04.2024 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 0:0
    04.11.2023 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 3:4
    08.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 2:1
    Latest results of Changchun Yatai
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    2Shanghai Shenhua20143347:252245
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    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2086627:29-230
    7Zhejiang Professional2085742:34829
    8Yunnan Yukun2185833:38-529
    9Dalian Yingbo2085721:26-529
    10Qingdao West Coast2069526:28-227
    11Wuhan Three Towns21561027:38-1121
    12Henan Songshan Longmen21541233:40-719
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng20521325:46-2117
    14Meizhou Hakka20441226:44-1816
    15Qingdao Hainiu20351220:32-1214
    16Changchun Yatai20231516:36-209

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League